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Marathon Petroleum (MPC, Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above fair value

Marathon Petroleum (MPC, Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing) trades at a blended P/E of 9.8, about 17% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of -24.7% and a PEG of —. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 9% of the time.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-28
Blended P/E
9.8
Normal P/E
11.8
PEG
—
Fwd growth
-24.7%
Div yield
1.1%
RSI (14)
69.6
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for MPC is $324.56 across 18 analysts, 12.0% below the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above fair value. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-06-03.

Price and rating by weekClose moved +35.0 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-24, with 4 rating changes over 23 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Trading above fair value, close 267.21 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Trading above fair value, close 263.28 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Significantly overvalued, close 263.58 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Significantly overvalued, close 250.47 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Significantly overvalued, close 242.91 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Significantly overvalued, close 266.35 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Significantly overvalued, close 268.99 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Significantly overvalued, close 283.30 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Significantly overvalued, close 283.74 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Significantly overvalued, close 296.88 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Significantly overvalued, close 303.40 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 315.31 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Trading above fair value, close 315.82 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Fairly valued, close 309.24 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Fairly valued, close 312.35 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Trading above fair value, close 316.47 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Trading above fair value, close 316.472026-08-07: Trading above fair value, close 298.20 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Trading above fair value, close 298.202026-08-14: Trading above fair value, close 355.42 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Trading above fair value, close 355.422026-08-21: Trading above fair value, close 360.72 (recalculated)2026-08-24: Trading above fair value, close 360.722673612026-06-032026-08-24
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 14.9+26%Trading above fair value
2026-06-10P/E 15.1+28%Trading above fair value
2026-06-14P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-16P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-21P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-02P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-06P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-09P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-12P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-13P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-14P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-20P/E 16.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-22P/E 13.2+12%Trading above fair value
2026-07-25P/E 11.7-2%Fairly valued
2026-07-27P/E 11.7-2%Fairly valued
2026-07-31P/E 11.6-2%Trading above fair value
2026-08-03P/E 11.7-1%Trading above fair value
2026-08-07P/E 9.1-24%Trading above fair value
2026-08-10P/E 9.0-24%Trading above fair value
2026-08-14P/E 10.2-14%Trading above fair value
2026-08-17P/E 10.2-14%Trading above fair value
2026-08-21P/E 9.9-16%Trading above fair value
2026-08-24P/E 9.9-16%Trading above fair value
2026-08-27P/E 9.9-16%Trading above fair value
2026-08-28P/E 9.8-17%Trading above fair value ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Marathon Petroleum stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 9.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 11.8, Marathon Petroleum trades about 17% below its typical valuation. tickerseer currently rates it trading above fair value.

What is Marathon Petroleum's fair value and PEG?

Marathon Petroleum trades at a blended P/E of 9.8 against a historical normal P/E of 11.8, and a forward growth estimate of -24.7%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Marathon Petroleum changed?

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum?

The mean Wall Street price target for Marathon Petroleum is $324.56 across 18 analysts, 12.0% below the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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