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Texas Pacific Land (TPL, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Texas Pacific Land (TPL, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production) trades at a blended P/E of 45.3, about 26% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 14.2% and a PEG of 3.19. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 40% of the time.

No quality score is published for this company, which is normal for insurers, banks and REITs. This rating reflects valuation, forecast return and analyst accuracy only. Ratings that cite business quality require one.

Blended P/E
45.3
Normal P/E
35.9
PEG
3.19
Fwd growth
14.2%
Div yield
0.7%
RSI (14)
46.7
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TPL is $442.00 across 2 analysts, 21.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Hold. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Price and rating by weekClose moved -5.7 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-24, with 0 rating changes over 23 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Significantly overvalued, close 406.76 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Significantly overvalued, close 375.18 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Significantly overvalued, close 378.91 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Significantly overvalued, close 356.35 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Significantly overvalued, close 355.11 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Significantly overvalued, close 407.20 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Significantly overvalued, close 402.80 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Significantly overvalued, close 390.77 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Significantly overvalued, close 397.82 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Significantly overvalued, close 408.92 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Significantly overvalued, close 415.93 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 405.87 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Significantly overvalued, close 433.10 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Significantly overvalued, close 419.44 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Significantly overvalued, close 396.62 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Significantly overvalued, close 402.58 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Significantly overvalued, close 402.582026-08-07: Significantly overvalued, close 340.65 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Significantly overvalued, close 340.652026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 358.52 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Significantly overvalued, close 358.522026-08-21: Significantly overvalued, close 383.64 (recalculated)2026-08-24: Significantly overvalued, close 383.644073842026-06-032026-08-24
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 51.2+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-10P/E 49.3+37%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-14P/E 49.3+37%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-16P/E 49.3+37%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-21P/E 49.3+37%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-02P/E 51.5+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-06P/E 50.4+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-09P/E 50.4+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-12P/E 50.3+40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-13P/E 50.3+40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-14P/E 50.3+40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-20P/E 52.7+47%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-22P/E 52.7+47%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-25P/E 53.0+48%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-27P/E 53.0+48%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-31P/E 49.6+38%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-03P/E 50.6+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 44.6+24%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-10P/E 42.7+19%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 43.3+21%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 44.6+24%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 45.4+27%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-24P/E 47.1+31%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 47.1+31%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-28P/E 45.3+26%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Texas Pacific Land stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 45.3 versus its historical normal P/E of 35.9, Texas Pacific Land trades about 26% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 3.19 on 14.2% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Texas Pacific Land's fair value and PEG?

Texas Pacific Land trades at a blended P/E of 45.3 against a historical normal P/E of 35.9, a PEG of 3.19, and a forward growth estimate of 14.2%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Texas Pacific Land changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Texas Pacific Land?

The mean Wall Street price target for Texas Pacific Land is $442.00 across 2 analysts, 21.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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