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XPO, Inc. (XPO, Cargo Ground Transportation) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above its usual valuation

XPO, Inc. (XPO, Cargo Ground Transportation) trades at a blended P/E of 36.8, about 33% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 22.5% and a PEG of 1.63. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 27.6 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $186.09 corresponds to about $140 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
36.8
Normal P/E
27.6
PEG
1.63
Fwd growth
22.5%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
49.0
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $181.95 at the 2026-10-08 close, 1.9% above the 20-day average ($178.53) and 3.9% below the 50-day ($189.34).
  • RSI (14) at 49.0.
  • 52-week range $123.66 to $228.37: the price is 20.3% below the high and 47.1% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for XPO is $229.26 across 23 analysts, 26.0% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above its usual valuation. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-07-09) to trading above its usual valuation (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 46.8 to 36.8 between 2026-07-09 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 27.6, with 3 rating changes over 30 recorded weeks.2026-07-09: P/E 46.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 46.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 46.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 46.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 46.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 48.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 48.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 48.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 48.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 42.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 42.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 42.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 42.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 43.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 43.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 40.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 40.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 40.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 40.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 38.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 38.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 39.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 39.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 36.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 36.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 34.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 34.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 34.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 34.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 36.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-10-0530.040.0Jul 9Jul 30Aug 20Sep 11Oct 2Normal P/E 27.6
Trading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-09P/E 46.8+70%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 48.7+77%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 38.5+40%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-07P/E 39.2+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-14P/E 36.7+33%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-28P/E 34.4+25%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-10-05P/E 36.8+33%Trading above its usual valuation ← now
Show all 30 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-09P/E 46.8+70%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 46.8+70%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 46.8+70%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 46.8+70%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 46.8+70%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 48.7+77%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 48.7+77%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 48.7+77%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 48.7+77%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 42.5+54%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 42.5+54%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 42.3+53%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 42.3+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 43.7+59%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 43.7+59%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 40.7+48%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 40.7+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 40.7+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 40.7+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 38.5+40%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-05P/E 38.5+40%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 39.2+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 39.2+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 36.7+33%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-19P/E 36.7+33%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 34.9+27%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-26P/E 34.9+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 34.4+25%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-10-03P/E 34.4+25%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 36.8+33%Trading above its usual valuation ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is XPO, Inc. stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 36.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 27.6, XPO, Inc. trades about 33% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.63 on 22.5% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it trading above its usual valuation.

What is XPO, Inc.'s fair value and PEG?

XPO, Inc. trades at a blended P/E of 36.8 against a historical normal P/E of 27.6, a PEG of 1.63, and a forward growth estimate of 22.5%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 27.6 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $186.09 corresponds to about $140 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of XPO, Inc. changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-07-09) to trading above its usual valuation (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for XPO, Inc.?

The mean Wall Street price target for XPO, Inc. is $229.26 across 23 analysts, 26.0% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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