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Alcoa (AA, Aluminum) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above fair value

Alcoa (AA, Aluminum) trades at a blended P/E of 9.2, about 24% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 10.0% and a PEG of 0.92. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 9% of the time.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-24
Blended P/E
9.2
Normal P/E
7.4
PEG
0.92
Fwd growth
10.0%
Div yield
0.8%
RSI (14)
49.3
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for AA is $62.98 across 12 analysts, 26.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above fair value. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-07-12.

Price and rating by weekClose moved +6.5 percent from 2026-07-12 to 2026-08-24, with 2 rating changes over 15 recorded weeks.2026-07-12: Trading above fair value, close 48.68 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Trading above fair value, close 48.72 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Trading above fair value, close 49.06 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Trading above fair value, close 43.48 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Fairly valued, close 46.17 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Fairly valued, close 44.24 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Fairly valued, close 44.08 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Fairly valued, close 45.26 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Trading above fair value, close 45.262026-08-07: Trading above fair value, close 50.17 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Trading above fair value, close 50.172026-08-14: Trading above fair value, close 49.98 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Trading above fair value, close 49.982026-08-21: Trading above fair value, close 51.85 (recalculated)2026-08-24: Trading above fair value, close 51.8549522026-07-122026-08-24
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-07-12P/E 8.9+20%Trading above fair value
2026-07-13P/E 8.9+20%Trading above fair value
2026-07-14P/E 8.9+20%Trading above fair value
2026-07-20P/E 8.9+20%Trading above fair value
2026-07-22P/E 8.2+11%Fairly valued
2026-07-25P/E 8.2+11%Fairly valued
2026-07-27P/E 8.2+11%Fairly valued
2026-07-31P/E 8.2+11%Fairly valued
2026-08-03P/E 8.9+20%Trading above fair value
2026-08-07P/E 8.9+20%Trading above fair value
2026-08-10P/E 9.1+22%Trading above fair value
2026-08-14P/E 9.1+22%Trading above fair value
2026-08-17P/E 9.0+20%Trading above fair value
2026-08-21P/E 9.0+20%Trading above fair value
2026-08-24P/E 9.2+24%Trading above fair value ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Alcoa stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 9.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 7.4, Alcoa trades about 24% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.92 on 10.0% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it trading above fair value.

What is Alcoa's fair value and PEG?

Alcoa trades at a blended P/E of 9.2 against a historical normal P/E of 7.4, a PEG of 0.92, and a forward growth estimate of 10.0%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Alcoa changed?

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-07-12.

What is the analyst price target for Alcoa?

The mean Wall Street price target for Alcoa is $62.98 across 12 analysts, 26.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Aluminum. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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