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Amazon.com (AMZN, Broadline Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Weak on forward returns

Amazon.com (AMZN, Broadline Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 21.9, about 81% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 8.1% and a PEG of 2.70. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 115.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $251.52 corresponds to about $1,330 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
21.9
Normal P/E
115.8
PEG
2.70
Fwd growth
8.1%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
50.7
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $254.06 at the 2026-10-08 close, 0.9% above the 20-day average ($251.74) and 1.7% below the 50-day ($258.56).
  • RSI (14) at 50.7.
  • 52-week range $198.79 to $284.02: the price is 10.5% below the high and 27.8% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for AMZN is $330.59 across 57 analysts, 30.1% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: weak on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been weak on forward returns since 2026-06-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 34.7 to 21.9 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 115.8, with 5 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 34.7, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 31.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 31.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 31.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 31.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 30.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 30.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 30.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 30.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 30.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 30.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 30.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 30.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 28.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 28.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 26.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 26.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 25.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 25.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 24.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 24.5, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 24.0, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 23.9, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 23.9, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 23.4, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 24.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 24.3, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 23.4, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 23.4, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 23.0, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 23.0, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 22.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 22.5, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 21.9, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 21.9, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 21.9, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 21.9, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0525.050.075.0100.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 115.8
Mixed on our testsWeak on forward returnsPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 34.7-70%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 31.0-73%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 26.1-77%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-17P/E 24.5-79%Weak on forward returns
2026-08-30P/E 24.3-79%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-05P/E 23.4-80%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-03P/E 21.9-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 21.9-81%Weak on forward returns ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 34.7-70%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 31.0-73%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 31.0-73%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 31.0-73%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 31.0-73%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 30.0-74%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 30.1-74%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 30.1-74%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 30.3-74%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 30.3-74%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 30.3-74%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 30.4-74%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 30.4-74%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 28.4-75%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 28.4-75%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 26.9-77%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 26.1-77%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-07P/E 25.8-78%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 25.9-78%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 24.7-79%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 24.5-79%Weak on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 24.0-79%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 23.9-79%Weak on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 23.9-79%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 23.4-80%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 24.3-79%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 24.3-79%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 23.4-80%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 23.4-80%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 23.0-80%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 23.0-80%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 22.5-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 22.5-81%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 21.9-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 21.9-81%Weak on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 21.9-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 21.9-81%Weak on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Amazon.com stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 21.9 versus its historical normal P/E of 115.8, Amazon.com trades about 81% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.70 on 8.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it weak on forward returns.

What is Amazon.com's fair value and PEG?

Amazon.com trades at a blended P/E of 21.9 against a historical normal P/E of 115.8, a PEG of 2.70, and a forward growth estimate of 8.1%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 115.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $251.52 corresponds to about $1,330 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Amazon.com changed?

tickerseer's rating has been weak on forward returns since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Amazon.com?

The mean Wall Street price target for Amazon.com is $330.59 across 57 analysts, 30.1% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Broadline Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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