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Ross Stores (ROST, Apparel Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Ross Stores (ROST, Apparel Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 29.6, about 42% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 11.6% and a PEG of 2.54. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 55% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $228.54 corresponds to about $161 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
29.6
Normal P/E
20.8
PEG
2.54
Fwd growth
11.6%
Div yield
0.8%
RSI (14)
40.3
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $225.20 at the 2026-10-08 close, 2.2% below the 20-day average ($230.30) and 4.5% below the 50-day ($235.84).
  • RSI (14) at 40.3.
  • 52-week range $146.49 to $254.74: the price is 11.6% below the high and 53.7% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ROST is $270.56 across 18 analysts, 20.1% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 32.5 to 29.6 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 20.8, with 0 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 32.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 29.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 30.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 30.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 31.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 31.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 31.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 32.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 32.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 33.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 33.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 35.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 34.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 35.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 35.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 33.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 33.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 30.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 31.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 31.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 30.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 29.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 29.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 29.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 29.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 29.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 29.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 29.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 29.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 30.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 30.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 29.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 29.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-0525.030.035.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 20.8
Significantly overvaluedPoor on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 32.5+56%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 35.3+70%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 29.1+40%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 29.6+42%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 32.5+56%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 32.9+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 32.9+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 32.9+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 32.9+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 29.9+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 30.1+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 30.1+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 31.3+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 31.3+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 31.3+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 32.7+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 32.7+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 33.3+60%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 33.3+60%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 35.1+69%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 34.9+68%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 35.2+69%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 35.3+70%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 33.7+62%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 33.8+62%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 30.5+47%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 31.3+50%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 31.3+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 30.0+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 29.8+43%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 29.8+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 29.9+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 29.9+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 29.8+43%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 29.8+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 29.1+40%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 29.1+40%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 30.6+47%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 30.6+47%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 29.6+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 29.6+42%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Ross Stores stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 29.6 versus its historical normal P/E of 20.8, Ross Stores trades about 42% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.54 on 11.6% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Ross Stores's fair value and PEG?

Ross Stores trades at a blended P/E of 29.6 against a historical normal P/E of 20.8, a PEG of 2.54, and a forward growth estimate of 11.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $228.54 corresponds to about $161 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Ross Stores changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Ross Stores?

The mean Wall Street price target for Ross Stores is $270.56 across 18 analysts, 20.1% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Apparel Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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