Target (TGT, Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests
Target (TGT, Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 16.4, about 3% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 4.2% and a PEG of 3.85. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 45% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 15.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $156.00 corresponds to about $152 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.
- Price $154.76 at the 2026-10-08 close, 1.0% below the 20-day average ($156.27) and 1.0% below the 50-day ($156.39).
- RSI (14) at 47.7.
- 52-week range $81.44 to $169.89: the price is 8.9% below the high and 90.0% above the low.
- At its last earnings report the options market priced a 7% move.
The Street vs SeerForecast
Wall Street's mean price target for TGT is $164.68 across 34 analysts, 6.4% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.
Valuation flags
- High PEG (3.9x)
- Low growth forecast
Verdict history
tickerseer's rating has been mixed on our tests since 2026-06-03.
Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.
Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.
Show all 37 weeks
Earnings moves: TGT moved more than the options market implied in 0 of 1 recent tracked reports.
Frequently asked questions
Is Target stock overvalued?
At a blended P/E of 16.4 versus its historical normal P/E of 15.9, Target trades about 3% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 3.85 on 4.2% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.
What is Target's fair value and PEG?
Target trades at a blended P/E of 16.4 against a historical normal P/E of 15.9, a PEG of 3.85, and a forward growth estimate of 4.2%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 15.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $156.00 corresponds to about $152 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.
Has tickerseer's rating of Target changed?
tickerseer's rating has been mixed on our tests since 2026-06-03.
What is the analyst price target for Target?
The mean Wall Street price target for Target is $164.68 across 34 analysts, 6.4% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.
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