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The Trade Desk (TTD, Advertising) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Poor on forward returns

The Trade Desk (TTD, Advertising) trades at a blended P/E of 24.6, about 57% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of -16.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 57.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $11.95 corresponds to about $27.80 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
24.6
Normal P/E
57.3
PEG
—
Fwd growth
-16.9%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
37.6
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $12.34 at the 2026-10-08 close, 5.4% below the 20-day average ($13.04) and 12.0% below the 50-day ($14.03).
  • RSI (14) at 37.6.
  • 52-week range $11.92 to $54.13: the price is 77.2% below the high and 3.5% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TTD is $13.57 across 30 analysts, 9.9% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Hold. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: poor on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from mixed on our tests (2026-06-03) to poor on forward returns (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 22.2 to 24.6 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 57.3, with 4 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 22.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 21.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 21.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 21.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 21.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 19.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 19.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 19.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 19.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 19.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 17.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 17.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 18.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 18.5, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 24.1, Strong on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 24.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 26.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 25.3, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 24.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 24.3, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 24.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 25.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 25.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 25.5, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 27.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 27.5, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 25.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 25.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 24.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 24.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0520.030.040.050.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 57.3
Strong on our testsFavorable on our testsMixed on our testsPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 22.2-61%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 19.1-67%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 17.8-69%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-07P/E 24.1-58%Strong on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 24.0-58%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 27.7-52%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 24.6-57%Poor on forward returns ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 22.2-61%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 21.0-63%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 21.0-63%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 21.0-63%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 21.0-63%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 19.9-65%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 19.8-65%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 19.8-65%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 20.2-65%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 20.2-65%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 20.2-65%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 19.1-67%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 19.1-67%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 17.8-69%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 17.8-69%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 18.8-67%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 18.5-68%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-07P/E 24.1-58%Strong on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 24.0-58%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 26.0-55%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 25.3-56%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 24.5-57%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 24.3-58%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 24.3-58%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 25.2-56%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 25.5-55%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 25.5-55%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 27.7-52%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 27.7-52%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 27.7-52%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 27.7-52%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 27.5-52%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 27.5-52%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 25.4-56%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 25.4-56%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 24.6-57%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 24.6-57%Poor on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is The Trade Desk stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 24.6 versus its historical normal P/E of 57.3, The Trade Desk trades about 57% below its typical valuation. tickerseer currently rates it poor on forward returns.

What is The Trade Desk's fair value and PEG?

The Trade Desk trades at a blended P/E of 24.6 against a historical normal P/E of 57.3, a forward growth estimate of -16.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 57.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $11.95 corresponds to about $27.80 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of The Trade Desk changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from mixed on our tests (2026-06-03) to poor on forward returns (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for The Trade Desk?

The mean Wall Street price target for The Trade Desk is $13.57 across 30 analysts, 9.9% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Advertising. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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