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Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI, Networking gear) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI, Networking gear) trades at a current P/E of 227.6, far above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate above 100% and a PEG of 0.84. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 9% of the time.

Current P/E
227.6
Normal P/E
16.0
PEG
0.84
Fwd growth
>100%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
44.7
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $100.68 at the 2026-10-12 close, 5.2% below the 20-day average ($106.23) and 11.7% below the 50-day ($114.02).
  • RSI (14) at 44.7.
  • 52-week range $19.49 to $223.10: the price is 54.9% below the high and 416.6% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for AAOI is $163.40 across 5 analysts, 62.3% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-14.

Price and rating by weekClose moved -35.1 percent from 2026-06-12 to 2026-10-09, with 0 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-12: Significantly overvalued, close 169.05, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: Significantly overvalued, close 170.81, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: Significantly overvalued, close 161.85, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: Significantly overvalued, close 120.95, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: Significantly overvalued, close 123.36, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: Significantly overvalued, close 122.21, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: Significantly overvalued, close 119.92, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: Significantly overvalued, close 111.88, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: Significantly overvalued, close 125.45, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 103.02, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: Significantly overvalued, close 110.52, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: Significantly overvalued, close 100.15, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: Significantly overvalued, close 97.82, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: Significantly overvalued, close 94.32, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: Significantly overvalued, close 94.32, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: Significantly overvalued, close 135.63, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: Significantly overvalued, close 135.63, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 150.28, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 150.28, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: Significantly overvalued, close 124.82, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: Significantly overvalued, close 124.82, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: Significantly overvalued, close 113.28, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: Significantly overvalued, close 106.23, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: Significantly overvalued, close 106.23, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: Significantly overvalued, close 106.23, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: Significantly overvalued, close 105.53, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: Significantly overvalued, close 105.53, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: Significantly overvalued, close 105.36, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: Significantly overvalued, close 105.36, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: Significantly overvalued, close 105.17, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: Significantly overvalued, close 105.17, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: Significantly overvalued, close 101.40, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: Significantly overvalued, close 101.40, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: Significantly overvalued, close 115.59, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: Significantly overvalued, close 115.59, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: Significantly overvalued, close 109.64, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: Significantly overvalued, close 109.64, recorded live 2026-10-12$100$120$140$160Jun 12Jul 12Aug 11Sep 9Oct 9
Significantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-14P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 242.1>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 227.6>500%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-14P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 1,857.3>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 242.1>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 242.1>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 242.1>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 242.1>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 178.0>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 178.0>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 413.5>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 413.5>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 449.4>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 449.4>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 353.8>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 353.8>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 353.8>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 353.8>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 286.1>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 286.1>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 270.8>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 270.8>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 258.2>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 258.2>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 246.6>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 246.6>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 227.9>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 227.9>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 249.5>500%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-10P/E 249.5>500%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 227.6>500%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Applied Optoelectronics stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 227.6 versus its historical normal P/E of 16.0, Applied Optoelectronics trades far above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.84 on forward growth above 100%. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Applied Optoelectronics's fair value and PEG?

Applied Optoelectronics trades at a current P/E of 227.6 against a historical normal P/E of 16.0, a PEG of 0.84, and a forward growth estimate above 100%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Applied Optoelectronics changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-14.

What is the analyst price target for Applied Optoelectronics?

The mean Wall Street price target for Applied Optoelectronics is $163.40 across 5 analysts, 62.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Networking gear. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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