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Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE, Mortgage REITs) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE, Mortgage REITs) trades at a blended P/E of 21.0, about 85% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 46.5% and a PEG of 0.45. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 27% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 11.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $4.38 corresponds to about $2.36 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

No quality score is published for this company, which is normal for insurers, banks and REITs. This rating reflects valuation, forecast return and analyst accuracy only. Ratings that cite business quality require one.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
21.0
Normal P/E
11.3
PEG
0.45
Fwd growth
46.5%
Div yield
13.7%
RSI (14)
47.5
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ACRE is $5.30 across 5 analysts, 25.6% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 43.2 to 21.0 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 11.3, with 0 rating changes over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 43.2, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 42.3, Significantly overvalued2026-08-07: P/E 42.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 36.9, Significantly overvalued2026-08-14: P/E 36.9, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 33.0, Significantly overvalued2026-08-21: P/E 33.0, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 31.5, Significantly overvalued2026-08-27: P/E 31.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 31.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 31.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 29.2, Significantly overvalued2026-09-05: P/E 29.2, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 27.3, Significantly overvalued2026-09-12: P/E 27.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 21.6, Significantly overvalued2026-09-19: P/E 21.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 21.0, Significantly overvalued20.030.040.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 11.3
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 43.2+283%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-21P/E 21.0+85%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Ares Commercial Real Estate stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 21.0 versus its historical normal P/E of 11.3, Ares Commercial Real Estate trades about 85% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.45 on 46.5% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Ares Commercial Real Estate's fair value and PEG?

Ares Commercial Real Estate trades at a blended P/E of 21.0 against a historical normal P/E of 11.3, a PEG of 0.45, and a forward growth estimate of 46.5%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 11.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $4.38 corresponds to about $2.36 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Ares Commercial Real Estate changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for Ares Commercial Real Estate?

The mean Wall Street price target for Ares Commercial Real Estate is $5.30 across 5 analysts, 25.6% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Mortgage REITs. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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