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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM, Agricultural Products & Services) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM, Agricultural Products & Services) trades at a blended P/E of 16.3, about 16% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 7.6% and a PEG of 2.14. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 18% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 14.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $80.45 corresponds to about $69.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
16.3
Normal P/E
14.0
PEG
2.14
Fwd growth
7.6%
Div yield
2.6%
RSI (14)
51.4
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $82.45 at the 2026-10-08 close, 0.5% below the 20-day average ($82.83) and 1.0% above the 50-day ($81.66).
  • RSI (14) at 51.4.
  • 52-week range $54.41 to $88.09: the price is 6.4% below the high and 51.5% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ADM is $80.40 across 10 analysts, 2.5% below the current price. The average analyst rating is Hold. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-06-10) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 20.7 to 16.3 between 2026-06-10 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 14.0, with 8 rating changes over 36 recorded weeks.2026-06-10: P/E 20.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 20.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 20.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 20.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 19.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 19.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 19.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 19.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 19.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 19.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 21.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 21.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 20.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 20.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 19.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 18.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 16.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 16.7, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 17.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 17.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 17.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 17.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 17.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 16.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 17.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 17.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 17.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 17.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 18.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 18.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 17.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 17.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 16.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 16.6, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 16.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 16.3, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-0514.016.018.020.0Jun 10Jul 8Aug 6Sep 4Oct 2Normal P/E 14.0
Mixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-10P/E 20.7+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 19.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 19.9+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 21.1+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 19.2+37%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 16.7+19%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-14P/E 17.3+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 16.7+19%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 17.2+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-26P/E 16.6+18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-03P/E 16.3+16%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 16.3+16%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 36 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-10P/E 20.7+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 20.7+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 20.7+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 20.7+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 19.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 19.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 19.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 19.9+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 19.9+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 19.9+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 21.1+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 21.1+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 20.6+47%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 20.6+47%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 19.2+37%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 18.9+35%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-07P/E 16.9+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 16.7+19%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-14P/E 17.3+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 17.3+24%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-21P/E 17.4+25%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 17.1+23%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-27P/E 17.1+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 16.7+19%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 17.2+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 17.2+23%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-05P/E 17.7+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 17.7+27%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-12P/E 18.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 18.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-19P/E 17.5+25%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 17.5+25%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-26P/E 16.6+18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 16.6+18%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 16.3+16%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 16.3+16%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Archer-Daniels-Midland stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 16.3 versus its historical normal P/E of 14.0, Archer-Daniels-Midland trades about 16% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.14 on 7.6% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is Archer-Daniels-Midland's fair value and PEG?

Archer-Daniels-Midland trades at a blended P/E of 16.3 against a historical normal P/E of 14.0, a PEG of 2.14, and a forward growth estimate of 7.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 14.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $80.45 corresponds to about $69.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Archer-Daniels-Midland changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-06-10) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland?

The mean Wall Street price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland is $80.40 across 10 analysts, 2.5% below the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Agricultural Products & Services. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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