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Applied Materials (AMAT, Semiconductor Materials & Equipment) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Applied Materials (AMAT, Semiconductor Materials & Equipment) trades at a blended P/E of 43.2, about 156% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 36.7% and a PEG of 1.18. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 18% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 16.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $540.04 corresponds to about $211 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
43.2
Normal P/E
16.9
PEG
1.18
Fwd growth
36.7%
Div yield
0.4%
RSI (14)
55.3
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $509.57 at the 2026-10-08 close, 5.8% above the 20-day average ($481.59) and 4.1% above the 50-day ($489.67).
  • RSI (14) at 55.3.
  • 52-week range $208.80 to $722.23: the price is 29.4% below the high and 144.0% above the low.
  • At its last earnings report the options market priced a 9.2% move.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for AMAT is $638.94 across 36 analysts, 25.4% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 40.9 to 43.2 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 16.9, with 2 rating changes over 35 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 40.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 40.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 40.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 40.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 40.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 57.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 53.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 53.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 52.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 52.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 52.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 46.2, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 46.2, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 46.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 46.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 43.4, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 43.9, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 45.4, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 46.4, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 44.4, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 42.1, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 41.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 40.6, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 40.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 37.9, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 37.9, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 37.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 37.1, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 37.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 37.1, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 36.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 36.0, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 39.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 39.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 43.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-0520.040.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 16.9
Favorable on our testsSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 40.9+142%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 57.6+242%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 46.2+174%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-19P/E 36.0+113%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 39.0+132%Significantly overvalued (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-05P/E 43.2+156%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 35 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 40.9+142%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 40.9+143%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 40.9+143%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 40.9+143%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 40.9+143%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 57.6+242%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 53.4+217%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 53.4+217%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 52.8+214%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 52.8+214%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 52.8+214%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 46.2+174%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 46.2+174%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 46.6+176%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 46.6+176%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 43.4+158%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 43.9+160%Favorable on our tests
2026-08-07P/E 45.4+170%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 46.4+175%Favorable on our tests
2026-08-14P/E 44.4+164%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 42.1+150%Favorable on our tests
2026-08-21P/E 41.0+143%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 40.6+141%Favorable on our tests
2026-08-27P/E 40.6+141%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 37.9+125%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 37.9+125%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-05P/E 37.1+120%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 37.1+120%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 37.1+120%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 37.1+120%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 36.0+113%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 36.0+113%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 39.0+132%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 39.0+132%Significantly overvalued (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-05P/E 43.2+156%Significantly overvalued ← now

Earnings moves: AMAT moved more than the options market implied in 0 of 1 recent tracked reports.

Frequently asked questions

Is Applied Materials stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 43.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 16.9, Applied Materials trades about 156% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.18 on 36.7% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Applied Materials's fair value and PEG?

Applied Materials trades at a blended P/E of 43.2 against a historical normal P/E of 16.9, a PEG of 1.18, and a forward growth estimate of 36.7%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 16.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $540.04 corresponds to about $211 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Applied Materials changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Applied Materials?

The mean Wall Street price target for Applied Materials is $638.94 across 36 analysts, 25.4% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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