Home / Stocks / ARM

Arm Holdings (ARM, Chipmakers) Stock Valuation & Fair Value

Mixed on our tests

Arm Holdings (ARM, Chipmakers) trades at a current P/E of 85.4, about 3% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 32.5% and a PEG of 2.62. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 50% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 83.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $174.62 corresponds to about $170 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

How to read these numbers: the PEG ratio and current P/E versus normal P/E.

DATA AS OF 2026-11-07
Current P/E
85.4
Normal P/E
83.1
PEG
2.62
Fwd growth
32.5%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
30.8
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $174.62 at the Nov 6 close, 20.1% below the 20-day average ($218.52) and 30.9% below the 50-day ($252.78).
  • RSI (14) at 30.8.
  • 52-week range $104.55 to $439.46: the price is 60.3% below the high and 67.0% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ARM is $290.70 across 40 analysts, 66.5% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-08-03) to trading above its usual valuation (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-11-02, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 124.5 to 100.8 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30, against a normal P/E of 83.1, with 1 rating change over 14 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 124.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 124.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 146.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 146.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 144.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 144.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 124.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 124.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 124.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 124.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 121.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 121.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 127.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 127.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 133.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 133.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 138.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 138.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 155.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 155.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 153.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 153.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 132.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-122026-10-16: P/E 132.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-172026-10-16: P/E 112.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-192026-10-23: P/E 103.3, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-262026-10-30: P/E 103.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-312026-10-30: P/E 100.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-11-02100.0120.0140.0Jul 31Aug 23Sep 15Oct 7Oct 30Normal P/E 83.1
Trading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-03P/E 124.5+50%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-28P/E 155.2+87%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-31P/E 103.3+24%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated) (across a rating rules change)
2026-11-02P/E 100.8+21%Trading above its usual valuation ← now
Show all 28 readings
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-03P/E 124.5+50%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 124.5+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 146.5+76%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 146.5+76%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 144.2+73%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 144.2+73%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 124.6+50%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 124.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 124.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 124.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 121.8+47%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 121.8+47%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 127.8+54%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 127.8+54%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 133.7+61%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 133.7+61%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 138.5+67%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 138.5+67%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 155.2+87%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 155.2+87%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 153.1+84%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-10P/E 153.1+84%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 132.0+59%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-17P/E 132.0+59%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-19P/E 112.4+35%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-26P/E 103.3+24%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-31P/E 103.3+24%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated) (across a rating rules change)
2026-11-02P/E 100.8+21%Trading above its usual valuation ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Arm Holdings stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 85.4 versus its historical normal P/E of 83.1, Arm Holdings trades about 3% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.62 on 32.5% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is Arm Holdings's fair value and PEG?

Arm Holdings trades at a current P/E of 85.4 against a historical normal P/E of 83.1, a PEG of 2.62, and a forward growth estimate of 32.5%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 83.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $174.62 corresponds to about $170 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Arm Holdings changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-08-03) to trading above its usual valuation (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-11-02, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

What is the analyst price target for Arm Holdings?

The mean Wall Street price target for Arm Holdings is $290.70 across 40 analysts, 66.5% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Chipmakers. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, valuation history, and an AI research note where we have one. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

See the full analysis →🔔 Track ARM free: valuation & earnings alerts

Get the free weekly earnings preview

One email each Monday with the week's named earnings setups, the reasoning, and what settled last week. Strikes and sizing stay in Premium.

It's free, and you can unsubscribe any time. We also send a short product update once a month. Educational content, not investment advice.