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Arm Holdings (ARM, Semiconductors) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Arm Holdings (ARM, Semiconductors) trades at a blended P/E of 138.5, about 67% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 33.2% and a PEG of 4.17. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 50% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 83.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $275.61 corresponds to about $165 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

No quality score is published for this company, which is normal for insurers, banks and REITs. This rating reflects valuation, forecast return and analyst accuracy only. Ratings that cite business quality require one.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
138.5
Normal P/E
83.1
PEG
4.17
Fwd growth
33.2%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
70.9
Overbought
Technical context
  • Price $332.56 at the 2026-09-23 close, 26.7% above the 20-day average ($262.52) and 26.6% above the 50-day ($262.76).
  • RSI (14) at 70.9.
  • 52-week range $104.55 to $439.46: the price is 24.3% below the high and 218.1% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ARM is $288.70 across 40 analysts, 13.2% below the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-08-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 124.5 to 138.5 between 2026-08-03 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 83.1, with 0 rating changes over 17 recorded weeks.2026-08-03: P/E 124.5, Significantly overvalued2026-08-07: P/E 124.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 146.5, Significantly overvalued2026-08-14: P/E 146.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 144.2, Significantly overvalued2026-08-21: P/E 144.2, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 124.6, Significantly overvalued2026-08-27: P/E 124.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 124.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 124.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 121.8, Significantly overvalued2026-09-05: P/E 121.8, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 127.8, Significantly overvalued2026-09-12: P/E 127.8, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 133.7, Significantly overvalued2026-09-19: P/E 133.7, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 138.5, Significantly overvalued100.0120.0140.0Aug 3Aug 15Aug 27Sep 9Sep 21Normal P/E 83.1
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-03P/E 124.5+50%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-10P/E 146.5+76%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-31P/E 121.8+47%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-21P/E 138.5+67%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Arm Holdings stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 138.5 versus its historical normal P/E of 83.1, Arm Holdings trades about 67% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 4.17 on 33.2% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Arm Holdings's fair value and PEG?

Arm Holdings trades at a blended P/E of 138.5 against a historical normal P/E of 83.1, a PEG of 4.17, and a forward growth estimate of 33.2%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 83.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $275.61 corresponds to about $165 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Arm Holdings changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-08-03.

What is the analyst price target for Arm Holdings?

The mean Wall Street price target for Arm Holdings is $288.70 across 40 analysts, 13.2% below the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Semiconductors. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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