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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG, Restaurants) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG, Restaurants) trades at a blended P/E of 30.5, about 40% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 14.4% and a PEG of 2.12. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-21
Blended P/E
30.5
Normal P/E
51.1
PEG
2.12
Fwd growth
14.4%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
62.2
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for CMG is $43.80 across 32 analysts, 18.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Price and rating by weekClose moved +16.6 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-17, with 2 rating changes over 21 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Significantly overvalued, close 28.74 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Trading above fair value, close 30.42 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Trading above fair value, close 32.23 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Trading above fair value, close 32.61 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Trading above fair value, close 32.49 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Significantly overvalued, close 35.39 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Significantly overvalued, close 33.98 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Significantly overvalued, close 34.60 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Significantly overvalued, close 35.25 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Significantly overvalued, close 36.63 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Significantly overvalued, close 36.43 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 33.13 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Significantly overvalued, close 32.20 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Significantly overvalued, close 31.79 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Significantly overvalued, close 33.20 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Significantly overvalued, close 37.22 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Significantly overvalued, close 37.222026-08-07: Significantly overvalued, close 32.79 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Significantly overvalued, close 32.792026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 33.50 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Significantly overvalued, close 33.5029342026-06-032026-08-17
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 28.1-45%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-10P/E 25.4-50%Trading above fair value
2026-06-14P/E 25.4-50%Trading above fair value
2026-06-16P/E 25.4-50%Trading above fair value
2026-06-21P/E 25.4-50%Trading above fair value
2026-07-02P/E 30.4-40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-06P/E 30.8-40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-09P/E 30.8-40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-12P/E 30.7-40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-13P/E 30.7-40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-14P/E 30.7-40%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-20P/E 30.0-41%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-22P/E 30.0-41%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-25P/E 27.7-46%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-27P/E 27.7-46%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-31P/E 33.3-35%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-03P/E 32.1-37%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 29.1-43%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-10P/E 28.3-45%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 28.2-45%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 28.9-43%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 30.5-40%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Chipotle Mexican Grill stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 30.5 versus its historical normal P/E of 51.1, Chipotle Mexican Grill trades about 40% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.12 on 14.4% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Chipotle Mexican Grill's fair value and PEG?

Chipotle Mexican Grill trades at a blended P/E of 30.5 against a historical normal P/E of 51.1, a PEG of 2.12, and a forward growth estimate of 14.4%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Chipotle Mexican Grill changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill?

The mean Wall Street price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill is $43.80 across 32 analysts, 18.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Restaurants. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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