Home / Stocks / COP

ConocoPhillips (COP, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Weak on forward returns

ConocoPhillips (COP, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production) trades at a blended P/E of 13.2, about 14% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 1.7% and a PEG of 7.83. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 9% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 11.7 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $126.75 corresponds to about $112 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
13.2
Normal P/E
11.7
PEG
7.83
Fwd growth
1.7%
Div yield
2.6%
RSI (14)
60.3
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $134.19 at the 2026-10-08 close, 3.1% above the 20-day average ($130.13) and 4.1% above the 50-day ($128.88).
  • RSI (14) at 60.3.
  • 52-week range $83.04 to $141.22: the price is 5.0% below the high and 61.6% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for COP is $145.85 across 26 analysts, 8.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: weak on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read trading above its usual valuation then and reads weak on forward returns now.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 15.0 to 13.2 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 11.7, with 4 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 15.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 15.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 15.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 15.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 15.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 12.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 13.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 13.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 14.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 14.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 14.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 14.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 14.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 15.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 15.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 14.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 15.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 14.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 14.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 14.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 15.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 15.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 15.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 15.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 14.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 15.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 15.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 15.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 15.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 14.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 14.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 14.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 14.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 13.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 13.6, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 13.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 13.2, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0512.014.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 11.7
Mixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationWeak on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 15.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 12.8+10%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 14.0+20%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-21P/E 15.7+35%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-26P/E 13.6+16%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-03P/E 13.2+14%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 13.2+14%Weak on forward returns ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 15.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 15.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 15.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 15.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 15.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 12.8+10%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 13.0+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 13.0+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 14.0+20%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 14.0+20%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 14.0+20%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 14.7+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 14.7+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 15.2+30%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 15.2+30%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 14.9+28%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 15.1+30%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-07P/E 14.3+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 14.4+24%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-14P/E 14.9+28%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 15.1+30%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-21P/E 15.7+35%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 15.7+35%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-27P/E 15.7+35%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 14.9+28%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 15.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 15.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-05P/E 15.3+31%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 15.3+31%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-12P/E 14.9+28%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 14.9+28%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-19P/E 14.2+22%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 14.2+22%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-26P/E 13.6+16%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 13.6+16%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 13.2+14%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 13.2+14%Weak on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is ConocoPhillips stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 13.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 11.7, ConocoPhillips trades about 14% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 7.83 on 1.7% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it weak on forward returns.

What is ConocoPhillips's fair value and PEG?

ConocoPhillips trades at a blended P/E of 13.2 against a historical normal P/E of 11.7, a PEG of 7.83, and a forward growth estimate of 1.7%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 11.7 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $126.75 corresponds to about $112 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of ConocoPhillips changed?

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read trading above its usual valuation then and reads weak on forward returns now.

What is the analyst price target for ConocoPhillips?

The mean Wall Street price target for ConocoPhillips is $145.85 across 26 analysts, 8.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

Get the free weekly earnings preview

One email each Monday with the week's named earnings setups, the reasoning, and what settled last week. Strikes and sizing stay in Premium.

It's free, and you can unsubscribe any time. We also send a short product update once a month. Educational content, not investment advice.