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CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD, Systems Software) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD, Systems Software) trades at a blended P/E of 235.9, about 62% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 28.6% and a PEG of 8.24. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 17% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 146.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $270.04 corresponds to about $167 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
235.9
Normal P/E
146.0
PEG
8.24
Fwd growth
28.6%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
59.4
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $263.01 at the 2026-10-08 close, 3.4% above the 20-day average ($254.29) and 15.9% above the 50-day ($226.91).
  • RSI (14) at 59.4.
  • 52-week range $87.56 to $278.86: the price is 5.7% below the high and 200.4% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for CRWD is $236.27 across 50 analysts, 10.2% below the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read poor on forward returns then and reads significantly overvalued now.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 164.2 to 235.9 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 146.0, with 0 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 164.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 162.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 162.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 162.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 162.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 732.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 183.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 183.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 176.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 176.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 176.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 190.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 190.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 170.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 170.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 171.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 176.7, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 191.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 197.5, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 206.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 198.8, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 173.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 174.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 174.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 204.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 196.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 196.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 190.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 190.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 183.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 183.5, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 209.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 209.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 221.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 221.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 235.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 235.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-05200.0400.0600.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 146.0
Poor on forward returnsSignificantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 164.2+12%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 162.2+11%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 732.1+91%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 235.9+62%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 164.2+12%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 162.2+11%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 162.2+11%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 162.2+11%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 162.2+11%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 732.1+91%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 183.6+26%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 183.6+26%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 176.1+21%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 176.1+21%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 176.1+21%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 190.0+30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 190.0+30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 170.6+17%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 170.6+17%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 171.6+18%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 176.7+21%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-07P/E 191.2+31%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 197.5+35%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 206.8+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 198.8+36%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 173.6+19%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 174.9+20%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 174.9+20%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 204.7+40%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 196.0+34%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 196.0+34%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 190.2+30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 190.2+30%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 183.5+26%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 183.5+26%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 209.8+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 209.8+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 221.4+52%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 221.4+52%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 235.9+62%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 235.9+62%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is CrowdStrike Holdings stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 235.9 versus its historical normal P/E of 146.0, CrowdStrike Holdings trades about 62% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 8.24 on 28.6% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is CrowdStrike Holdings's fair value and PEG?

CrowdStrike Holdings trades at a blended P/E of 235.9 against a historical normal P/E of 146.0, a PEG of 8.24, and a forward growth estimate of 28.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 146.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $270.04 corresponds to about $167 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of CrowdStrike Holdings changed?

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read poor on forward returns then and reads significantly overvalued now.

What is the analyst price target for CrowdStrike Holdings?

The mean Wall Street price target for CrowdStrike Holdings is $236.27 across 50 analysts, 10.2% below the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Systems Software. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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