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CoreCivic (CXW, Security & Alarm Services) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above fair value

CoreCivic (CXW, Security & Alarm Services) trades at a blended P/E of 3.0, about 82% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of -71.4%. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $35.23 corresponds to about $199 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
3.0
Normal P/E
17.2
PEG
—
Fwd growth
-71.4%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
42.6
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for CXW is $41.80 across 5 analysts, 29.5% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above fair value. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-07-31.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 21.8 to 3.0 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 17.2, with 2 rating changes over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 21.8, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 21.8, Trading above fair value2026-08-07: P/E 21.8, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 22.7, Trading above fair value2026-08-14: P/E 22.7, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 3.3, Fairly valued2026-08-21: P/E 3.3, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 3.3, Trading above fair value2026-08-27: P/E 3.3, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 3.3, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 3.3, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 3.2, Trading above fair value2026-09-05: P/E 3.2, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 3.2, Trading above fair value2026-09-12: P/E 3.2, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 3.1, Trading above fair value2026-09-19: P/E 3.1, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 3.0, Trading above fair value5.010.015.020.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 17.2
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 21.8+27%Trading above fair value
2026-08-10P/E 22.7+32%Trading above fair value
2026-08-17P/E 3.3-81%Fairly valued
2026-08-24P/E 3.3-81%Trading above fair value
2026-09-21P/E 3.0-82%Trading above fair value ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is CoreCivic stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 3.0 versus its historical normal P/E of 17.2, CoreCivic trades about 82% below its typical valuation. tickerseer currently rates it trading above fair value.

What is CoreCivic's fair value and PEG?

CoreCivic trades at a blended P/E of 3.0 against a historical normal P/E of 17.2, a forward growth estimate of -71.4%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $35.23 corresponds to about $199 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of CoreCivic changed?

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for CoreCivic?

The mean Wall Street price target for CoreCivic is $41.80 across 5 analysts, 29.5% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Security & Alarm Services. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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