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CoreCivic (CXW, Security services) Stock Valuation & Fair Value

Mixed on our tests

CoreCivic (CXW, Security services) trades at a current P/E of 2.2, a multiple its historical normal P/E is too distorted to compare with, with a forward growth estimate of -56.3%. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time.

How to read these numbers: the PEG ratio and current P/E versus normal P/E.

The historical normal P/E published for CoreCivic is 17.2, more than six times its current multiple. A gap that wide comes from the company's earnings history rather than from its price, so this page quotes no premium or discount against it.

DATA AS OF 2026-11-07
Current P/E
2.2
Normal P/E
not meaningful
PEG
—
Fwd growth
-56.3%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
37.9
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $28.67 at the Nov 6 close, 6.5% below the 20-day average ($30.66) and 11.3% below the 50-day ($32.32).
  • RSI (14) at 37.9.
  • 52-week range $16.13 to $35.54: the price is 19.3% below the high and 77.7% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for CXW is $41.80 across 5 analysts, 45.8% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above its usual valuation (2026-07-31) to mixed on our tests (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-09-28, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 21.8 to 2.3 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30, with 5 rating changes over 14 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 21.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 21.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 21.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 22.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 22.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 3.3, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 3.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 3.3, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 3.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 3.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 3.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 3.2, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 3.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 3.2, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 3.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 3.1, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 3.1, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 3.0, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 3.0, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 2.7, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 2.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 2.7, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 2.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 2.6, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-122026-10-16: P/E 2.6, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-172026-10-16: P/E 2.4, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-192026-10-23: P/E 2.3, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-262026-10-30: P/E 2.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-312026-10-30: P/E 2.3, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-11-0210.020.0Jul 31Aug 23Sep 15Oct 7Oct 30
Mixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationWeak on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 21.8+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 22.7+32%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-17P/E 3.3-81%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-24P/E 3.3-81%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-28P/E 2.7not meaningfulMixed on our tests (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-12P/E 2.6not meaningfulWeak on forward returns (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-19P/E 2.4not meaningfulMixed on our tests (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-26P/E 2.3not meaningfulMixed on our tests
2026-11-02P/E 2.3not meaningfulMixed on our tests ← now
Show all 29 readings
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 21.8+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 21.8+27%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-07P/E 21.8+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 22.7+32%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-14P/E 22.7+32%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 3.3-81%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-21P/E 3.3-81%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 3.3-81%Weak on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 3.3-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 3.3-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 3.3-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 3.2-81%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 3.2-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 3.2-81%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 3.2-81%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 3.1-82%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 3.1-82%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 3.0-82%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 3.0-82%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 2.7not meaningfulMixed on our tests (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-03P/E 2.7not meaningfulMixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 2.7not meaningfulMixed on our tests
2026-10-10P/E 2.7not meaningfulMixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 2.6not meaningfulWeak on forward returns (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-17P/E 2.6not meaningfulWeak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-19P/E 2.4not meaningfulMixed on our tests (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-26P/E 2.3not meaningfulMixed on our tests
2026-10-31P/E 2.3not meaningfulMixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-11-02P/E 2.3not meaningfulMixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is CoreCivic stock overvalued?

CoreCivic trades at a current P/E of 2.2. Its published historical normal P/E is 17.2, more than six times that, so there is no meaningful premium or discount to quote. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is CoreCivic's fair value and PEG?

CoreCivic trades at a current P/E of 2.2, a forward growth estimate of -56.3%.

Has tickerseer's rating of CoreCivic changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above its usual valuation (2026-07-31) to mixed on our tests (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-09-28, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

What is the analyst price target for CoreCivic?

The mean Wall Street price target for CoreCivic is $41.80 across 5 analysts, 45.8% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Security services. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and an AI research note where we have one. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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