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Dow (DOW, Bulk chemicals) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests

Dow (DOW, Bulk chemicals) trades at a current P/E of 17.4, about 3% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 5.5% and a PEG of 3.13. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 17% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-09 close of $28.42 corresponds to about $29.30 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-12
Current P/E
17.4
Normal P/E
17.9
PEG
3.13
Fwd growth
5.5%
Div yield
4.9%
RSI (14)
44.6
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $28.12 at the 2026-10-12 close, 1.0% below the 20-day average ($28.40) and 4.7% below the 50-day ($29.50).
  • RSI (14) at 44.6.
  • 52-week range $19.96 to $40.97: the price is 31.4% below the high and 40.9% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for DOW is $33.62 across 16 analysts, 19.6% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Hold. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-12).

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 53.7 to 17.4 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-09, against a normal P/E of 17.9, with 2 rating changes over 39 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 53.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 46.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 46.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 46.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 46.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 28.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 28.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 28.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 27.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 27.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 27.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 29.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 29.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 29.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 29.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 27.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 27.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 26.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 25.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 25.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 25.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 25.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 25.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 25.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 22.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 22.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 22.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 20.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 20.7, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 20.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 20.1, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 18.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 18.9, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 17.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 17.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 17.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 17.4, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-1220.030.040.050.0Jun 3Jul 5Aug 6Sep 7Oct 9Normal P/E 17.9
Mixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 53.7+200%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 22.6+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-05P/E 20.7+16%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-10P/E 17.4-3%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 17.4-3%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 39 weeks
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 53.7+200%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 46.3+159%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 46.3+159%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 46.3+159%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 46.3+159%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 28.4+59%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 28.9+61%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 28.9+61%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 27.8+56%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 27.8+56%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 27.8+56%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 29.1+63%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 29.1+63%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 29.2+64%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 29.2+64%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 27.9+56%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 27.9+56%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 26.5+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 25.4+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 25.1+40%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 25.4+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 25.7+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 25.1+40%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 25.1+40%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 22.6+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 22.5+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 22.5+26%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-05P/E 20.7+16%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 20.7+16%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 20.1+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 20.1+12%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 20.2+13%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 20.2+13%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 18.9+6%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 18.9+6%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 17.8-1%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 17.8-1%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-10P/E 17.4-3%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 17.4-3%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Dow stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 17.4 versus its historical normal P/E of 17.9, Dow trades about 3% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 3.13 on 5.5% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is Dow's fair value and PEG?

Dow trades at a current P/E of 17.4 against a historical normal P/E of 17.9, a PEG of 3.13, and a forward growth estimate of 5.5%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-09 close of $28.42 corresponds to about $29.30 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Dow changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-12).

What is the analyst price target for Dow?

The mean Wall Street price target for Dow is $33.62 across 16 analysts, 19.6% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Bulk chemicals. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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