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e.l.f. Beauty (ELF, Personal Care Products) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Poor on forward returns

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF, Personal Care Products) trades at a blended P/E of 31.2, about 7% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 11.1% and a PEG of 2.82. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 11% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 33.5 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $104.68 corresponds to about $112 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
31.2
Normal P/E
33.5
PEG
2.82
Fwd growth
11.1%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
61.5
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $105.96 at the 2026-10-08 close, 5.8% above the 20-day average ($100.19) and 7.3% above the 50-day ($98.75).
  • RSI (14) at 61.5.
  • 52-week range $49.57 to $144.97: the price is 26.9% below the high and 113.8% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ELF is $103.19 across 16 analysts, 2.6% below the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: poor on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been poor on forward returns since 2026-07-31.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 25.8 to 31.2 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 33.5, with 0 rating changes over 22 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 25.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 26.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 26.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 30.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 30.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 27.8, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 27.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 30.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 30.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 30.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 30.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 31.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 31.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 33.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 33.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 29.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 29.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 28.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 28.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 29.7, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 29.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 31.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0526.028.030.032.0Jul 31Aug 16Sep 1Sep 16Oct 2Normal P/E 33.5
Poor on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 25.8-23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 33.0-1%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-05P/E 31.2-7%Poor on forward returns ← now
Show all 22 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 25.8-23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 26.0-22%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-07P/E 26.0-22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 30.0-11%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 30.0-11%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 27.8-17%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 27.8-17%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 30.9-8%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 30.9-8%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 30.9-8%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 30.9-8%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 31.4-6%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 31.4-6%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 33.0-1%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 33.0-1%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 29.1-13%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 29.1-13%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 28.9-14%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 28.9-14%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 29.7-11%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 29.7-11%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 31.2-7%Poor on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is e.l.f. Beauty stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 31.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 33.5, e.l.f. Beauty trades about 7% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.82 on 11.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it poor on forward returns.

What is e.l.f. Beauty's fair value and PEG?

e.l.f. Beauty trades at a blended P/E of 31.2 against a historical normal P/E of 33.5, a PEG of 2.82, and a forward growth estimate of 11.1%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 33.5 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $104.68 corresponds to about $112 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of e.l.f. Beauty changed?

tickerseer's rating has been poor on forward returns since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for e.l.f. Beauty?

The mean Wall Street price target for e.l.f. Beauty is $103.19 across 16 analysts, 2.6% below the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Personal Care Products. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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