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Alphabet (GOOGL, Interactive Media & Services) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Poor on forward returns

Alphabet (GOOGL, Interactive Media & Services) trades at a blended P/E of 18.9, about 30% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of -1.4%. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 55% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 26.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $343.50 corresponds to about $488 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
18.9
Normal P/E
26.9
PEG
—
Fwd growth
-1.4%
Div yield
0.3%
RSI (14)
53.3
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $348.29 at the 2026-10-08 close, 0.9% above the 20-day average ($345.26) and 0.7% above the 50-day ($345.77).
  • RSI (14) at 53.3.
  • 52-week range $235.96 to $402.12: the price is 13.4% below the high and 47.6% above the low.
  • At its last earnings report the options market priced a 5.2% move.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for GOOGL is $429.36 across 54 analysts, 23.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: poor on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been poor on forward returns since 2026-06-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 31.9 to 18.9 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 26.9, with 2 rating changes over 33 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 31.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-07-02: P/E 28.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 28.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 28.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 28.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 28.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 28.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 27.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 27.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 19.7, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 19.7, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 20.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 21.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 21.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 21.3, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 20.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 20.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 20.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 20.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 20.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 19.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 20.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 20.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 19.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 19.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 19.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 19.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 19.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 19.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 19.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 19.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 18.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 18.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0520.025.030.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 26.9
Weak on forward returnsPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 31.9+19%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 19.7-27%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 20.3-24%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-03P/E 18.9-30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 18.9-30%Poor on forward returns ← now
Show all 33 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 31.9+19%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 28.8+7%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 28.7+7%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 28.7+7%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 28.3+5%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 28.3+5%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 28.3+5%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 27.3+2%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 27.3+2%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 19.7-27%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 19.7-27%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 20.3-24%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 21.6-20%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-07P/E 21.5-20%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 21.3-21%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 20.6-23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 20.6-23%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 20.0-26%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 20.2-25%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 20.2-25%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 19.8-26%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 20.1-25%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 20.1-25%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 19.4-28%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 19.4-28%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 19.2-29%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 19.2-29%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 19.6-27%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 19.6-27%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 19.1-29%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 19.1-29%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 18.9-30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 18.9-30%Poor on forward returns ← now

Earnings moves: GOOGL moved more than the options market implied in 1 of 1 recent tracked reports.

Frequently asked questions

Is Alphabet stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 18.9 versus its historical normal P/E of 26.9, Alphabet trades about 30% below its typical valuation. tickerseer currently rates it poor on forward returns.

What is Alphabet's fair value and PEG?

Alphabet trades at a blended P/E of 18.9 against a historical normal P/E of 26.9, a forward growth estimate of -1.4%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 26.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $343.50 corresponds to about $488 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Alphabet changed?

tickerseer's rating has been poor on forward returns since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Alphabet?

The mean Wall Street price target for Alphabet is $429.36 across 54 analysts, 23.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Interactive Media & Services. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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