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W.W. Grainger (GWW, Trading Companies & Distributors) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Poor on forward returns

W.W. Grainger (GWW, Trading Companies & Distributors) trades at a blended P/E of 28.6, about 39% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 10.4% and a PEG of 2.75. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 45% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.6 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $1,280.30 corresponds to about $923 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
28.6
Normal P/E
20.6
PEG
2.75
Fwd growth
10.4%
Div yield
0.8%
RSI (14)
46.9
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $1,268.67 at the 2026-10-08 close, level with the 20-day average ($1,268.04) and 1.9% below the 50-day ($1,293.27).
  • RSI (14) at 46.9.
  • 52-week range $912.82 to $1,399.30: the price is 9.3% below the high and 39.0% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for GWW is $1,331.64 across 14 analysts, 5.0% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Hold. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: poor on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read significantly overvalued then and reads poor on forward returns now.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 29.8 to 28.6 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 20.6, with 0 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 29.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 30.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 30.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 30.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 30.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 31.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 31.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 31.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 32.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 32.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 32.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 32.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 32.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 32.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 32.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 31.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 32.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 29.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 29.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 30.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 30.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 29.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 29.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 29.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 30.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 29.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 29.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 29.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 29.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 28.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 28.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 28.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 28.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 27.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 27.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 28.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 28.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0525.030.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 20.6
Significantly overvaluedPoor on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 29.8+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 32.6+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-26P/E 27.9+35%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 28.6+39%Poor on forward returns ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 29.8+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 30.9+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 30.9+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 30.9+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 30.9+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 31.5+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 31.6+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 31.6+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 32.2+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 32.2+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 32.2+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 32.6+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 32.6+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 32.2+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 32.2+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 31.5+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 32.1+56%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 29.4+43%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 29.3+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 30.2+47%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 30.2+47%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 29.6+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 29.9+45%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 29.9+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 30.0+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 29.6+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 29.6+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 29.9+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 29.9+45%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 28.9+40%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 28.9+40%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 28.4+38%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 28.4+38%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 27.9+35%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 27.9+35%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 28.6+39%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 28.6+39%Poor on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is W.W. Grainger stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 28.6 versus its historical normal P/E of 20.6, W.W. Grainger trades about 39% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.75 on 10.4% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it poor on forward returns.

What is W.W. Grainger's fair value and PEG?

W.W. Grainger trades at a blended P/E of 28.6 against a historical normal P/E of 20.6, a PEG of 2.75, and a forward growth estimate of 10.4%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.6 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $1,280.30 corresponds to about $923 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of W.W. Grainger changed?

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read significantly overvalued then and reads poor on forward returns now.

What is the analyst price target for W.W. Grainger?

The mean Wall Street price target for W.W. Grainger is $1,331.64 across 14 analysts, 5.0% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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