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Warrior Met Coal (HCC, Steel) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Warrior Met Coal (HCC, Steel) trades at a blended P/E of 18.2, about 235% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 32.7% and a PEG of 0.56. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 13% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 5.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $87.93 corresponds to about $26.30 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
18.2
Normal P/E
5.4
PEG
0.56
Fwd growth
32.7%
Div yield
0.4%
RSI (14)
42.3
Neutral

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 20.6 to 18.2 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 5.4, with 0 rating changes over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 20.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 20.3, Significantly overvalued2026-08-07: P/E 20.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 22.8, Significantly overvalued2026-08-14: P/E 22.8, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 23.0, Significantly overvalued2026-08-21: P/E 23.0, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued2026-08-27: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 23.6, Significantly overvalued2026-09-05: P/E 23.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 22.6, Significantly overvalued2026-09-12: P/E 22.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 20.7, Significantly overvalued2026-09-19: P/E 20.7, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 18.2, Significantly overvalued10.015.020.025.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 5.4
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 20.6+279%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-24P/E 25.3+365%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-21P/E 18.2+235%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Warrior Met Coal stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 18.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 5.4, Warrior Met Coal trades about 235% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.56 on 32.7% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Warrior Met Coal's fair value and PEG?

Warrior Met Coal trades at a blended P/E of 18.2 against a historical normal P/E of 5.4, a PEG of 0.56, and a forward growth estimate of 32.7%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 5.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $87.93 corresponds to about $26.30 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Warrior Met Coal changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

Industry: Steel. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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