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Warrior Met Coal (HCC, Steelmakers) Stock Valuation & Fair Value

Significantly overvalued

Warrior Met Coal (HCC, Steelmakers) trades at a current P/E of 14.9, about 173% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 25.1% and a PEG of 0.59. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 13% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 5.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $84.15 corresponds to about $30.80 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

How to read these numbers: the PEG ratio and current P/E versus normal P/E.

DATA AS OF 2026-11-07
Current P/E
14.9
Normal P/E
5.4
PEG
0.59
Fwd growth
25.1%
Div yield
0.4%
RSI (14)
45.2
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $84.15 at the Nov 6 close, 1.9% below the 20-day average ($85.78) and 8.0% below the 50-day ($91.50).
  • RSI (14) at 45.2.
  • 52-week range $72.87 to $110.18: the price is 23.6% below the high and 15.5% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for HCC is $109.00 across 6 analysts, 29.5% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 20.6 to 15.2 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30, against a normal P/E of 5.4, with 0 rating changes over 14 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 20.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 20.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 20.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 22.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 22.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 23.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 23.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 23.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 23.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 22.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 22.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 20.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 20.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 18.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 18.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 18.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 18.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 17.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 17.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 17.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-122026-10-16: P/E 17.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-172026-10-16: P/E 16.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-192026-10-23: P/E 15.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-262026-10-30: P/E 15.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-312026-10-30: P/E 15.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-11-0210.015.020.025.0Jul 31Aug 23Sep 15Oct 7Oct 30Normal P/E 5.4
Significantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 20.6+279%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 25.3+365%Significantly overvalued
2026-11-02P/E 15.2+179%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 29 readings
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 20.6+279%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 20.3+273%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 20.3+273%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 22.8+319%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 22.8+319%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 23.0+323%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 23.0+323%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 25.3+365%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 25.3+365%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 25.3+365%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 25.3+365%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 23.6+334%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 23.6+334%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 22.6+315%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 22.6+315%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 20.7+280%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 20.7+280%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 18.2+235%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 18.2+235%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 18.1+234%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 18.1+234%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 17.8+226%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-10P/E 17.8+226%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 17.4+220%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-17P/E 17.4+220%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-19P/E 16.5+203%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-26P/E 15.4+184%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-31P/E 15.4+184%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-11-02P/E 15.2+179%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Warrior Met Coal stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 14.9 versus its historical normal P/E of 5.4, Warrior Met Coal trades about 173% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.59 on 25.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Warrior Met Coal's fair value and PEG?

Warrior Met Coal trades at a current P/E of 14.9 against a historical normal P/E of 5.4, a PEG of 0.59, and a forward growth estimate of 25.1%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 5.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $84.15 corresponds to about $30.80 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Warrior Met Coal changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for Warrior Met Coal?

The mean Wall Street price target for Warrior Met Coal is $109.00 across 6 analysts, 29.5% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Steelmakers. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and an AI research note where we have one. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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