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Johnson Controls International (JCI, Building Products) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Johnson Controls International (JCI, Building Products) trades at a blended P/E of 30.7, about 88% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 16.6% and a PEG of 1.85. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 64% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 16.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $156.24 corresponds to about $83.00 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
30.7
Normal P/E
16.3
PEG
1.85
Fwd growth
16.6%
Div yield
1.0%
RSI (14)
59.8
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $154.00 at the 2026-10-08 close, 4.1% above the 20-day average ($147.90) and 4.8% above the 50-day ($146.88).
  • RSI (14) at 59.8.
  • 52-week range $104.64 to $158.76: the price is 3.0% below the high and 47.2% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for JCI is $165.80 across 20 analysts, 7.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 30.3 to 30.7 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 16.3, with 0 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 30.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 31.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 31.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 31.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 31.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 31.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 30.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 30.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 30.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 30.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 30.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 30.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 30.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 30.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 30.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 29.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 30.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 31.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 31.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 31.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 31.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 31.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 29.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 29.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 28.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 28.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 28.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 29.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 29.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 29.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 29.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 28.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 28.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 29.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 29.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 30.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 30.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-0520.025.030.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 16.3
Significantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 30.3+86%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-07P/E 31.8+95%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 28.2+73%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 30.7+88%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 30.3+86%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 31.8+95%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 31.8+95%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 31.8+95%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 31.8+95%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 31.4+92%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 30.5+87%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 30.5+87%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 30.8+88%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 30.8+88%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 30.8+88%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 30.1+84%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 30.1+84%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 30.6+87%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 30.6+87%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 29.8+82%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 30.3+86%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 31.8+95%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 31.3+92%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 31.0+90%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 31.4+92%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 31.4+92%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 29.0+78%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 29.0+78%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 28.7+76%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 28.2+73%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 28.2+73%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 29.1+78%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 29.1+78%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 29.2+79%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 29.2+79%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 28.5+75%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 28.5+75%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 29.7+82%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 29.7+82%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 30.7+88%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 30.7+88%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Johnson Controls International stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 30.7 versus its historical normal P/E of 16.3, Johnson Controls International trades about 88% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.85 on 16.6% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Johnson Controls International's fair value and PEG?

Johnson Controls International trades at a blended P/E of 30.7 against a historical normal P/E of 16.3, a PEG of 1.85, and a forward growth estimate of 16.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 16.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $156.24 corresponds to about $83.00 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Johnson Controls International changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Johnson Controls International?

The mean Wall Street price target for Johnson Controls International is $165.80 across 20 analysts, 7.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Building Products. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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