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Markel Group (MKL, Property & liability insurers) Stock Valuation & Fair Value

Weak on forward returns

Markel Group (MKL, Property & liability insurers) trades at a current P/E of 18.1, about 38% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 7.8% and a PEG of 2.32. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 18% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 28.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $1,939.04 corresponds to about $3,100 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

How to read these numbers: the PEG ratio and current P/E versus normal P/E.

DATA AS OF 2026-11-07
Current P/E
18.1
Normal P/E
28.9
PEG
2.32
Fwd growth
7.8%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
67.4
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $1,939.04 at the Nov 6 close, 3.7% above the 20-day average ($1,869.97) and 7.1% above the 50-day ($1,810.03).
  • RSI (14) at 67.4.
  • 52-week range $1,712.45 to $2,191.90: the price is 11.5% below the high and 13.2% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for MKL is $1,966.83 across 6 analysts, 1.4% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Hold. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: weak on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from poor on forward returns (2026-09-19) to mixed on our tests (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-11-02, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 17.2 to 17.8 between 2026-09-18 and 2026-10-30, against a normal P/E of 28.9, with 2 rating changes over 7 recorded weeks.2026-09-18: P/E 17.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 17.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 16.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 16.8, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 16.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 16.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 17.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 17.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-122026-10-16: P/E 18.1, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-172026-10-16: P/E 18.1, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-192026-10-23: P/E 18.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-242026-10-23: P/E 18.3, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-262026-10-30: P/E 17.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-312026-10-30: P/E 17.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-11-0220.025.0Sep 18Sep 28Oct 9Oct 20Oct 30Normal P/E 28.9
Mixed on our testsWeak on forward returnsPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-09-19P/E 17.2-41%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-26P/E 16.8-42%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-17P/E 18.1-38%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-24P/E 18.3-37%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-31P/E 17.8-39%Mixed on our tests (recalculated) (across a rating rules change)
2026-11-02P/E 17.8-39%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 14 readings
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-09-19P/E 17.2-41%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 17.2-41%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 16.8-42%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 16.8-42%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 16.9-42%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 16.9-42%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-10P/E 17.2-41%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 17.2-41%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-17P/E 18.1-38%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-19P/E 18.1-38%Weak on forward returns
2026-10-24P/E 18.3-37%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-26P/E 18.3-37%Weak on forward returns
2026-10-31P/E 17.8-39%Mixed on our tests (recalculated) (across a rating rules change)
2026-11-02P/E 17.8-39%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Markel Group stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 18.1 versus its historical normal P/E of 28.9, Markel Group trades about 38% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.32 on 7.8% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it weak on forward returns.

What is Markel Group's fair value and PEG?

Markel Group trades at a current P/E of 18.1 against a historical normal P/E of 28.9, a PEG of 2.32, and a forward growth estimate of 7.8%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 28.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $1,939.04 corresponds to about $3,100 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Markel Group changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from poor on forward returns (2026-09-19) to mixed on our tests (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-11-02, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

What is the analyst price target for Markel Group?

The mean Wall Street price target for Markel Group is $1,966.83 across 6 analysts, 1.4% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Property & liability insurers. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, valuation history, and an AI research note where we have one. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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