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Microsoft (MSFT, Systems Software) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above fair value

Microsoft (MSFT, Systems Software) trades at a blended P/E of 27.3, about 24% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 18.2% and a PEG of 1.50. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-21
Blended P/E
27.3
Normal P/E
22.0
PEG
1.50
Fwd growth
18.2%
Div yield
0.8%
RSI (14)
61.5
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for MSFT is $569.56 across 53 analysts, 17.9% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above fair value. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-06-03.

Price and rating by weekClose moved +15.9 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-17, with 2 rating changes over 21 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Trading above fair value, close 427.34 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Trading above fair value, close 397.36 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Trading above fair value, close 390.74 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Trading above fair value, close 393.83 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Trading above fair value, close 379.40 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Fairly valued, close 390.49 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Fairly valued, close 386.74 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Fairly valued, close 384.36 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Fairly valued, close 385.10 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Fairly valued, close 390.99 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Fairly valued, close 384.93 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Fairly valued, close 402.29 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Fairly valued, close 390.34 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Fairly valued, close 381.70 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Fairly valued, close 389.10 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Fairly valued, close 464.72 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Trading above fair value, close 464.722026-08-07: Trading above fair value, close 499.99 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Trading above fair value, close 499.992026-08-14: Trading above fair value, close 495.40 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Trading above fair value, close 495.404274952026-06-032026-08-17
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 25.9+18%Trading above fair value
2026-06-10P/E 25.2+14%Trading above fair value
2026-06-14P/E 25.2+14%Trading above fair value
2026-06-16P/E 25.2+14%Trading above fair value
2026-06-21P/E 25.2+14%Trading above fair value
2026-07-02P/E 22.9+4%Fairly valued
2026-07-06P/E 23.3+6%Fairly valued
2026-07-09P/E 23.3+6%Fairly valued
2026-07-12P/E 22.9+4%Fairly valued
2026-07-13P/E 22.9+4%Fairly valued
2026-07-14P/E 22.9+4%Fairly valued
2026-07-20P/E 23.3+6%Fairly valued
2026-07-22P/E 23.3+6%Fairly valued
2026-07-25P/E 22.4+2%Fairly valued
2026-07-27P/E 22.4+2%Fairly valued
2026-07-31P/E 25.8+17%Fairly valued
2026-08-03P/E 26.6+21%Trading above fair value
2026-08-07P/E 28.6+30%Trading above fair value
2026-08-10P/E 28.5+30%Trading above fair value
2026-08-14P/E 28.3+29%Trading above fair value
2026-08-17P/E 28.2+28%Trading above fair value
2026-08-21P/E 27.3+24%Trading above fair value ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Microsoft stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 27.3 versus its historical normal P/E of 22.0, Microsoft trades about 24% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.50 on 18.2% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it trading above fair value.

What is Microsoft's fair value and PEG?

Microsoft trades at a blended P/E of 27.3 against a historical normal P/E of 22.0, a PEG of 1.50, and a forward growth estimate of 18.2%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Microsoft changed?

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Microsoft?

The mean Wall Street price target for Microsoft is $569.56 across 53 analysts, 17.9% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Systems Software. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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