Microsoft (MSFT, Systems Software) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above its usual valuation
Microsoft (MSFT, Systems Software) trades at a blended P/E of 28.9, about 32% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 18.7% and a PEG of 1.55. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 22.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $517.53 corresponds to about $393 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.
- Price $522.61 at the 2026-10-08 close, 2.8% above the 20-day average ($508.13) and 4.8% above the 50-day ($498.49).
- RSI (14) at 61.9.
- 52-week range $352.17 to $537.65: the price is 2.8% below the high and 48.4% above the low.
The Street vs SeerForecast
Wall Street's mean price target for MSFT is $578.82 across 53 analysts, 10.8% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above its usual valuation. When the two disagree, start your digging there.
Valuation flags
- Overvalued by 32%
Verdict history
tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read weak on forward returns then and reads trading above its usual valuation now.
Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.
Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.
Show all 37 weeks
Frequently asked questions
Is Microsoft stock overvalued?
At a blended P/E of 28.9 versus its historical normal P/E of 22.0, Microsoft trades about 32% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.55 on 18.7% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it trading above its usual valuation.
What is Microsoft's fair value and PEG?
Microsoft trades at a blended P/E of 28.9 against a historical normal P/E of 22.0, a PEG of 1.55, and a forward growth estimate of 18.7%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 22.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $517.53 corresponds to about $393 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.
Has tickerseer's rating of Microsoft changed?
tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read weak on forward returns then and reads trading above its usual valuation now.
What is the analyst price target for Microsoft?
The mean Wall Street price target for Microsoft is $578.82 across 53 analysts, 10.8% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.
Industry: Systems Software. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.
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