NVIDIA (NVDA, Semiconductors) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Favorable on our tests
NVIDIA (NVDA, Semiconductors) trades at a blended P/E of 30.2, about 14% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 53.9% and a PEG of 0.56. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 9% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 35.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $233.95 corresponds to about $272 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.
- Price $230.48 at the 2026-10-08 close, 1.9% above the 20-day average ($226.18) and 4.2% above the 50-day ($221.25).
- RSI (14) at 54.6.
- 52-week range $164.79 to $239.24: the price is 3.7% below the high and 39.9% above the low.
- At its last earnings report the options market priced a 7% move.
The Street vs SeerForecast
Wall Street's mean price target for NVDA is $327.70 across 59 analysts, 42.2% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: favorable on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.
Valuation flags
- No notable valuation flags.
Verdict history
tickerseer's rating moved from strong on our tests (2026-06-10) to favorable on our tests (2026-10-05). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-09-28, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.
Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.
Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.
Show all 36 weeks
Earnings moves: NVDA moved more than the options market implied in 1 of 1 recent tracked reports.
Frequently asked questions
Is NVIDIA stock overvalued?
At a blended P/E of 30.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 35.1, NVIDIA trades about 14% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.56 on 53.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it favorable on our tests.
What is NVIDIA's fair value and PEG?
NVIDIA trades at a blended P/E of 30.2 against a historical normal P/E of 35.1, a PEG of 0.56, and a forward growth estimate of 53.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 35.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $233.95 corresponds to about $272 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.
Has tickerseer's rating of NVIDIA changed?
tickerseer's rating moved from strong on our tests (2026-06-10) to favorable on our tests (2026-10-05). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-09-28, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.
What is the analyst price target for NVIDIA?
The mean Wall Street price target for NVIDIA is $327.70 across 59 analysts, 42.2% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.
Industry: Semiconductors. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.
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