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PACCAR (PCAR, Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests

PACCAR (PCAR, Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment) trades at a blended P/E of 19.1, about 18% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 16.1% and a PEG of 1.19. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 45% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 16.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $109.68 corresponds to about $93.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
19.1
Normal P/E
16.2
PEG
1.19
Fwd growth
16.1%
Div yield
1.3%
RSI (14)
32.0
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $109.66 at the 2026-10-08 close, 3.4% below the 20-day average ($113.52) and 10.5% below the 50-day ($122.56).
  • RSI (14) at 32.0.
  • 52-week range $90.76 to $137.85: the price is 20.4% below the high and 20.8% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for PCAR is $144.80 across 15 analysts, 32.0% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above its usual valuation (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 21.3 to 19.1 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 16.2, with 5 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 21.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 22.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 22.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 22.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 22.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 22.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 22.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 22.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 23.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 23.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 23.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 23.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 23.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 24.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 24.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 24.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 24.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 23.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 23.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 23.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 23.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 23.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 23.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 23.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 22.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 22.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 22.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 22.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 22.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 21.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 21.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 20.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 20.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 19.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 19.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 19.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 19.1, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-0517.520.022.5Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 16.2
Mixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 21.3+31%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 22.8+40%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 22.4+38%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 23.3+43%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 24.6+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 22.6+39%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-10-03P/E 19.1+18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 19.1+18%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 21.3+31%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 22.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 22.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 22.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 22.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 22.8+40%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 22.4+38%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 22.4+38%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 23.3+43%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 23.3+43%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 23.3+43%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 23.5+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 23.5+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 24.6+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 24.6+51%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 24.2+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 24.0+48%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 23.8+46%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 23.9+47%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 23.5+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 23.5+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 23.1+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 23.4+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 23.4+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 22.6+39%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 22.3+38%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 22.3+38%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-05P/E 22.2+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 22.2+36%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-12P/E 21.6+33%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 21.6+33%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-19P/E 20.4+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 20.4+26%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-26P/E 19.5+20%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 19.5+20%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-10-03P/E 19.1+18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 19.1+18%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is PACCAR stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 19.1 versus its historical normal P/E of 16.2, PACCAR trades about 18% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.19 on 16.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is PACCAR's fair value and PEG?

PACCAR trades at a blended P/E of 19.1 against a historical normal P/E of 16.2, a PEG of 1.19, and a forward growth estimate of 16.1%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 16.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $109.68 corresponds to about $93.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of PACCAR changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above its usual valuation (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for PACCAR?

The mean Wall Street price target for PACCAR is $144.80 across 15 analysts, 32.0% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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