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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG, Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above its usual valuation

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG, Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials) trades at a blended P/E of 22.2, about 25% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 13.8% and a PEG of 1.61. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $228.54 corresponds to about $183 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
22.2
Normal P/E
17.8
PEG
1.61
Fwd growth
13.8%
Div yield
2.6%
RSI (14)
43.9
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $229.94 at the 2026-10-08 close, 1.3% below the 20-day average ($233.00) and 4.2% below the 50-day ($240.08).
  • RSI (14) at 43.9.
  • 52-week range $186.94 to $255.77: the price is 10.1% below the high and 23.0% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for PKG is $259.20 across 10 analysts, 12.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above its usual valuation. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been trading above its usual valuation since 2026-06-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 21.9 to 22.2 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 17.8, with 4 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 21.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 22.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 22.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 22.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 22.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 23.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 23.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 23.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 22.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 22.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 22.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 23.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 23.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 25.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 25.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 24.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 24.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 24.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 25.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 25.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 25.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 24.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 24.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 24.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 23.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 23.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 23.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 23.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 23.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 22.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 22.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 22.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 22.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 23.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 23.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 22.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 22.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-10-0518.020.022.024.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 17.8
Trading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 21.9+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 25.1+41%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 24.4+37%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 25.1+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 25.2+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-21P/E 24.4+37%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 22.2+25%Trading above its usual valuation ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 21.9+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 22.3+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 22.3+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 22.3+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 22.3+26%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 23.8+34%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 23.8+34%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 23.8+34%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 22.6+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 22.6+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 22.6+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 23.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 23.0+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 25.1+41%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 25.1+41%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 24.4+37%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 24.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-07P/E 24.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 25.1+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 25.2+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 25.0+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 24.4+37%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 24.7+39%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-27P/E 24.7+39%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 23.8+34%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 23.5+32%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 23.5+32%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-05P/E 23.1+30%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 23.1+30%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-12P/E 22.8+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 22.8+29%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-19P/E 22.6+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 22.6+27%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-26P/E 23.1+30%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 23.1+30%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-10-03P/E 22.2+25%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 22.2+25%Trading above its usual valuation ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Packaging Corporation of America stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 22.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 17.8, Packaging Corporation of America trades about 25% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.61 on 13.8% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it trading above its usual valuation.

What is Packaging Corporation of America's fair value and PEG?

Packaging Corporation of America trades at a blended P/E of 22.2 against a historical normal P/E of 17.8, a PEG of 1.61, and a forward growth estimate of 13.8%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $228.54 corresponds to about $183 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Packaging Corporation of America changed?

tickerseer's rating has been trading above its usual valuation since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Packaging Corporation of America?

The mean Wall Street price target for Packaging Corporation of America is $259.20 across 10 analysts, 12.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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