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Philip Morris International (PM, Tobacco) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Philip Morris International (PM, Tobacco) trades at a blended P/E of 23.7, about 42% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 9.6% and a PEG of 2.47. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 100% of the time.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-21
Blended P/E
23.7
Normal P/E
16.7
PEG
2.47
Fwd growth
9.6%
Div yield
3.1%
RSI (14)
49.3
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for PM is $203.80 across 15 analysts, 8.3% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from fairly valued (2026-06-03) to significantly overvalued (2026-08-21).

Price and rating by weekClose moved +9.1 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-17, with 4 rating changes over 21 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Fairly valued, close 174.49 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Trading above fair value, close 181.45 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Trading above fair value, close 182.78 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Trading above fair value, close 182.55 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Trading above fair value, close 176.93 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Trading above fair value, close 182.27 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Trading above fair value, close 184.76 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Trading above fair value, close 181.17 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Trading above fair value, close 181.62 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Trading above fair value, close 180.19 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Trading above fair value, close 175.95 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 192.72 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Significantly overvalued, close 194.30 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Significantly overvalued, close 193.00 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Significantly overvalued, close 195.66 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Significantly overvalued, close 190.82 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Significantly overvalued, close 190.822026-08-07: Trading above fair value, close 189.57 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Significantly overvalued, close 189.572026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 190.39 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Significantly overvalued, close 190.391741902026-06-032026-08-17
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 0.0—Fairly valued
2026-06-10P/E 22.5+35%Trading above fair value
2026-06-14P/E 22.5+35%Trading above fair value
2026-06-16P/E 22.5+35%Trading above fair value
2026-06-21P/E 22.5+35%Trading above fair value
2026-07-02P/E 22.3+33%Trading above fair value
2026-07-06P/E 22.9+37%Trading above fair value
2026-07-09P/E 22.9+37%Trading above fair value
2026-07-12P/E 22.7+36%Trading above fair value
2026-07-13P/E 22.7+36%Trading above fair value
2026-07-14P/E 22.7+36%Trading above fair value
2026-07-20P/E 24.1+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-22P/E 24.1+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-25P/E 24.1+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-27P/E 24.1+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-31P/E 23.9+43%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-03P/E 23.8+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 23.4+40%Trading above fair value
2026-08-10P/E 23.6+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 23.4+40%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 23.6+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 23.7+42%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Philip Morris International stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 23.7 versus its historical normal P/E of 16.7, Philip Morris International trades about 42% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.47 on 9.6% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Philip Morris International's fair value and PEG?

Philip Morris International trades at a blended P/E of 23.7 against a historical normal P/E of 16.7, a PEG of 2.47, and a forward growth estimate of 9.6%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Philip Morris International changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from fairly valued (2026-06-03) to significantly overvalued (2026-08-21).

What is the analyst price target for Philip Morris International?

The mean Wall Street price target for Philip Morris International is $203.80 across 15 analysts, 8.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Tobacco. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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