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Royal Gold (RGLD, Gold) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above fair value

Royal Gold (RGLD, Gold) trades at a blended P/E of 26.8, about 45% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 15.9% and a PEG of 1.68. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 50% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 48.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $249.65 corresponds to about $450 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
26.8
Normal P/E
48.2
PEG
1.68
Fwd growth
15.9%
Div yield
0.8%
RSI (14)
54.4
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $252.78 at the 2026-09-23 close, 1.8% below the 20-day average ($257.29) and 8.9% above the 50-day ($232.17).
  • RSI (14) at 54.4.
  • 52-week range $168.01 to $303.02: the price is 16.6% below the high and 50.5% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for RGLD is $306.50 across 12 analysts, 21.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above fair value. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-07-31.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 22.1 to 26.8 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 48.2, with 0 rating changes over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 22.1, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 21.6, Trading above fair value2026-08-07: P/E 21.6, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 25.1, Trading above fair value2026-08-14: P/E 25.1, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 25.4, Trading above fair value2026-08-21: P/E 25.4, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 28.4, Trading above fair value2026-08-27: P/E 28.4, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 28.4, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 28.4, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 28.7, Trading above fair value2026-09-05: P/E 28.7, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 28.4, Trading above fair value2026-09-12: P/E 28.4, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 27.2, Trading above fair value2026-09-19: P/E 27.2, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 26.8, Trading above fair value30.040.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 48.2
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 22.1-54%Trading above fair value
2026-08-03P/E 21.6-55%Trading above fair value
2026-08-31P/E 28.7-41%Trading above fair value
2026-09-21P/E 26.8-45%Trading above fair value ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Royal Gold stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 26.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 48.2, Royal Gold trades about 45% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.68 on 15.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it trading above fair value.

What is Royal Gold's fair value and PEG?

Royal Gold trades at a blended P/E of 26.8 against a historical normal P/E of 48.2, a PEG of 1.68, and a forward growth estimate of 15.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 48.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $249.65 corresponds to about $450 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Royal Gold changed?

tickerseer's rating has been trading above fair value since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for Royal Gold?

The mean Wall Street price target for Royal Gold is $306.50 across 12 analysts, 21.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Gold. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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