Home / Stocks / RIO

Rio Tinto (RIO, Mining groups) Stock Valuation & Fair Value

Mixed on our tests

Rio Tinto (RIO, Mining groups) trades at a current P/E of 10.7, about 3% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 2.1% and a PEG of 5.16. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 27% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 10.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $83.73 corresponds to about $81.50 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

How to read these numbers: the PEG ratio and current P/E versus normal P/E.

Current P/E
10.7
Normal P/E
10.4
PEG
5.16
Fwd growth
2.1%
Div yield
5.5%
RSI (14)
37.9
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $83.73 at the Nov 6 close, 3.1% below the 20-day average ($86.38) and 10.1% below the 50-day ($93.17).
  • RSI (14) at 37.9.
  • 52-week range $65.47 to $109.63: the price is 23.6% below the high and 27.9% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for RIO is $102.71 across 9 analysts, 22.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been mixed on our tests since 2026-09-19.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 12.3 to 10.5 between 2026-09-18 and 2026-10-30, against a normal P/E of 10.4, with 0 rating changes over 7 recorded weeks.2026-09-18: P/E 12.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 12.3, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 11.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 11.9, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 11.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 11.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 11.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 11.9, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-122026-10-16: P/E 11.5, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-172026-10-16: P/E 11.5, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-192026-10-23: P/E 10.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-242026-10-23: P/E 10.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-262026-10-30: P/E 10.5, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-312026-10-30: P/E 10.5, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-11-0210.511.011.512.0Sep 18Sep 28Oct 9Oct 20Oct 30Normal P/E 10.4
Mixed on our tests

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-09-19P/E 12.3+18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-31P/E 10.5+1%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-11-02P/E 10.5+1%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 14 readings
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-09-19P/E 12.3+18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 12.3+18%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 11.9+14%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 11.9+14%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 11.8+13%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 11.8+13%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-10P/E 11.9+14%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 11.9+14%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-17P/E 11.5+10%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-19P/E 11.5+10%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-24P/E 10.8+3%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-26P/E 10.8+3%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-31P/E 10.5+1%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-11-02P/E 10.5+1%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Rio Tinto stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 10.7 versus its historical normal P/E of 10.4, Rio Tinto trades about 3% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 5.16 on 2.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is Rio Tinto's fair value and PEG?

Rio Tinto trades at a current P/E of 10.7 against a historical normal P/E of 10.4, a PEG of 5.16, and a forward growth estimate of 2.1%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 10.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $83.73 corresponds to about $81.50 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Rio Tinto changed?

tickerseer's rating has been mixed on our tests since 2026-09-19.

What is the analyst price target for Rio Tinto?

The mean Wall Street price target for Rio Tinto is $102.71 across 9 analysts, 22.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Mining groups. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, valuation history, and an AI research note where we have one. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

Get the free weekly earnings preview

One email each Monday with the week's named earnings setups, the reasoning, and what settled last week. Strikes and sizing stay in Premium.

It's free, and you can unsubscribe any time. We also send a short product update once a month. Educational content, not investment advice.