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Ralph Lauren (RL, Apparel Accessories & Luxury Goods) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Weak on forward returns

Ralph Lauren (RL, Apparel Accessories & Luxury Goods) trades at a blended P/E of 20.5, about 14% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 11.7% and a PEG of 1.74. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 9% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 18.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $363.37 corresponds to about $319 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
20.5
Normal P/E
18.0
PEG
1.74
Fwd growth
11.7%
Div yield
1.1%
RSI (14)
59.1
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $367.39 at the 2026-10-08 close, 4.9% above the 20-day average ($350.09) and 1.7% above the 50-day ($361.31).
  • RSI (14) at 59.1.
  • 52-week range $306.04 to $412.07: the price is 10.8% below the high and 20.0% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for RL is $446.71 across 17 analysts, 21.6% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: weak on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read trading above its usual valuation then and reads weak on forward returns now.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 22.0 to 20.5 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 18.0, with 2 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 22.0, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 21.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 21.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 21.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 21.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 23.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 23.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 23.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 23.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 23.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 23.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 22.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 22.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 21.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 21.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 22.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 22.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 22.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 22.8, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 22.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 22.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 21.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 21.3, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 21.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 20.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 20.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 20.0, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 19.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 19.3, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 19.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 19.0, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 20.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 20.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 20.5, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0518.020.022.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 18.0
Mixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationWeak on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 22.0+22%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 23.4+30%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 20.1+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-19P/E 19.0+6%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-03P/E 20.5+14%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 20.5+14%Weak on forward returns ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 22.0+22%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 21.7+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 21.7+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 21.7+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 21.7+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 23.4+30%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 23.4+30%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 23.4+30%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 23.1+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 23.1+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 23.1+29%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 22.2+24%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 22.2+24%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 21.8+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 21.8+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 22.4+25%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 22.1+23%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-07P/E 22.8+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 22.8+27%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-14P/E 22.2+24%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 22.3+24%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-21P/E 21.3+19%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 21.3+19%Weak on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 21.3+19%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 20.1+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 20.2+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 20.2+12%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-05P/E 20.0+11%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 20.0+11%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 19.3+7%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 19.3+7%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 19.0+6%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 19.0+6%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 20.2+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 20.2+12%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 20.5+14%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 20.5+14%Weak on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Ralph Lauren stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 20.5 versus its historical normal P/E of 18.0, Ralph Lauren trades about 14% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.74 on 11.7% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it weak on forward returns.

What is Ralph Lauren's fair value and PEG?

Ralph Lauren trades at a blended P/E of 20.5 against a historical normal P/E of 18.0, a PEG of 1.74, and a forward growth estimate of 11.7%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 18.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $363.37 corresponds to about $319 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Ralph Lauren changed?

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read trading above its usual valuation then and reads weak on forward returns now.

What is the analyst price target for Ralph Lauren?

The mean Wall Street price target for Ralph Lauren is $446.71 across 17 analysts, 21.6% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Apparel Accessories & Luxury Goods. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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