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The J. M. Smucker (SJM, Packaged Foods & Meats) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Favorable on our tests

The J. M. Smucker (SJM, Packaged Foods & Meats) trades at a blended P/E of 11.9, about 23% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 6.9% and a PEG of 1.72. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 82% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 15.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $117.19 corresponds to about $152 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
11.9
Normal P/E
15.4
PEG
1.72
Fwd growth
6.9%
Div yield
3.8%
RSI (14)
47.7
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $119.41 at the 2026-10-08 close, 0.6% below the 20-day average ($120.11) and 2.0% below the 50-day ($121.86).
  • RSI (14) at 47.7.
  • 52-week range $87.73 to $132.34: the price is 9.8% below the high and 36.1% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for SJM is $142.12 across 16 analysts, 19.0% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: favorable on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from mixed on our tests (2026-06-03) to favorable on our tests (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 11.5 to 11.9 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 15.4, with 1 rating change over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 11.5, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 11.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 11.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 11.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 11.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 12.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 12.5, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 12.5, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 12.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 12.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 12.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 12.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 12.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 12.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 12.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 13.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 12.7, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 12.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 12.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 12.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 12.9, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 13.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 13.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 13.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 13.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 13.7, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 13.7, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 13.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 13.0, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 12.4, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 12.4, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 12.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 12.6, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 12.3, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 12.3, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 11.9, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 11.9, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-0512.014.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 15.4
Favorable on our testsMixed on our tests

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 11.5-28%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 11.4-28%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 13.6-12%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 13.7-11%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 11.9-23%Favorable on our tests ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 11.5-28%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 11.4-28%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 11.4-28%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 11.4-28%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 11.4-28%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 12.3-20%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 12.5-19%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 12.5-19%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 12.0-22%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 12.0-22%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 12.0-22%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 12.0-22%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 12.0-22%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 12.6-18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 12.6-18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 13.0-15%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 12.7-18%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-07P/E 12.7-18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 12.8-17%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-14P/E 12.8-17%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 12.9-16%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-21P/E 13.1-15%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 13.2-15%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-27P/E 13.2-15%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 13.6-12%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 13.7-11%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 13.7-11%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-05P/E 13.0-16%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 13.0-16%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 12.4-20%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 12.4-20%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 12.6-19%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 12.6-19%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 12.3-20%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 12.3-20%Favorable on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 11.9-23%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 11.9-23%Favorable on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is The J. M. Smucker stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 11.9 versus its historical normal P/E of 15.4, The J. M. Smucker trades about 23% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.72 on 6.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it favorable on our tests.

What is The J. M. Smucker's fair value and PEG?

The J. M. Smucker trades at a blended P/E of 11.9 against a historical normal P/E of 15.4, a PEG of 1.72, and a forward growth estimate of 6.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 15.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $117.19 corresponds to about $152 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of The J. M. Smucker changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from mixed on our tests (2026-06-03) to favorable on our tests (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for The J. M. Smucker?

The mean Wall Street price target for The J. M. Smucker is $142.12 across 16 analysts, 19.0% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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