Home / Stocks / TJX

The TJX Companies (TJX, Apparel Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Poor on forward returns

The TJX Companies (TJX, Apparel Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 26.2, about 25% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 10.7% and a PEG of 2.45. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 82% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $132.68 corresponds to about $106 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
26.2
Normal P/E
20.9
PEG
2.45
Fwd growth
10.7%
Div yield
1.4%
RSI (14)
62.0
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $138.75 at the 2026-10-08 close, 5.9% above the 20-day average ($130.99) and 0.3% below the 50-day ($139.22).
  • RSI (14) at 62.0.
  • 52-week range $122.84 to $167.88: the price is 17.4% below the high and 13.0% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TJX is $169.80 across 20 analysts, 22.4% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: poor on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read significantly overvalued then and reads poor on forward returns now.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 31.7 to 26.2 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 20.9, with 2 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 31.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 30.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 31.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 31.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 30.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 30.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 30.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 31.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 31.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 31.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 31.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 32.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 31.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 32.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 32.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 30.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 30.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 28.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 28.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 28.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 26.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 26.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 26.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 26.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 26.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 25.0, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 25.0, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 25.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 25.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 25.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 25.7, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 26.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 26.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0525.030.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 20.9
Weak on forward returnsTrading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 31.7+52%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 32.9+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-12P/E 25.0+19%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-26P/E 25.7+23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 26.2+25%Poor on forward returns ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 31.7+52%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 32.9+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 32.9+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 32.9+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 32.9+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 30.7+47%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 31.3+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 31.3+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 30.7+46%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 30.7+46%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 30.7+46%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 31.2+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 31.2+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 31.1+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 31.1+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 32.1+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 31.7+51%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 32.6+56%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 32.5+55%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 30.9+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 30.5+46%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 28.1+34%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 28.0+34%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 28.0+34%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 26.7+28%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 26.9+28%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 26.9+28%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 26.2+25%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 26.2+25%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 25.0+19%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 25.0+19%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 25.2+20%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 25.2+20%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-26P/E 25.7+23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 25.7+23%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 26.2+25%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 26.2+25%Poor on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is The TJX Companies stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 26.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 20.9, The TJX Companies trades about 25% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.45 on 10.7% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it poor on forward returns.

What is The TJX Companies's fair value and PEG?

The TJX Companies trades at a blended P/E of 26.2 against a historical normal P/E of 20.9, a PEG of 2.45, and a forward growth estimate of 10.7%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $132.68 corresponds to about $106 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of The TJX Companies changed?

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read significantly overvalued then and reads poor on forward returns now.

What is the analyst price target for The TJX Companies?

The mean Wall Street price target for The TJX Companies is $169.80 across 20 analysts, 22.4% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Apparel Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

See the full analysis →🔔 Track TJX free: valuation & earnings alerts

Get the free weekly earnings preview

One email each Monday with the week's named earnings setups, the reasoning, and what settled last week. Strikes and sizing stay in Premium.

It's free, and you can unsubscribe any time. We also send a short product update once a month. Educational content, not investment advice.