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TKO Group Holdings (TKO, Movies & Entertainment) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests

TKO Group Holdings (TKO, Movies & Entertainment) trades at a blended P/E of 42.2, about 9% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 31.9% and a PEG of 1.32. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 27% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 38.7 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $175.58 corresponds to about $161 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
42.2
Normal P/E
38.7
PEG
1.32
Fwd growth
31.9%
Div yield
1.8%
RSI (14)
46.7
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $181.63 at the 2026-10-08 close, 1.4% below the 20-day average ($184.23) and 3.0% below the 50-day ($187.20).
  • RSI (14) at 46.7.
  • 52-week range $173.73 to $222.28: the price is 18.3% below the high and 4.5% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TKO is $231.42 across 19 analysts, 27.4% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from favorable on our tests (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-09-28, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 60.9 to 42.2 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 38.7, with 7 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 60.9, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 60.7, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 60.7, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 60.7, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 60.7, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 57.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 54.9, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 54.9, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 51.3, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 51.3, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 51.3, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 51.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 51.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 49.2, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 49.2, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 49.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 48.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 49.8, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 49.5, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 52.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 52.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 50.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 50.0, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 50.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 47.2, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 47.2, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 47.2, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 46.9, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 46.9, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 47.5, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 47.5, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 46.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 46.6, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 44.5, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 44.5, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 42.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 42.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-0540.050.060.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 38.7
Favorable on our testsMixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 60.9+57%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 57.3+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 54.9+42%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 49.5+28%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-07P/E 49.8+29%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-14P/E 52.4+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-21P/E 50.6+31%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 44.5+15%Mixed on our tests (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-03P/E 42.2+9%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 42.2+9%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 60.9+57%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 60.7+57%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 60.7+57%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 60.7+57%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 60.7+57%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 57.3+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 54.9+42%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 54.9+42%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 51.3+33%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 51.3+33%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 51.3+33%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 51.1+32%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 51.1+32%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 49.2+27%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 49.2+27%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 49.5+28%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 48.9+27%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-07P/E 49.8+29%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 49.5+28%Favorable on our tests
2026-08-14P/E 52.4+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 52.7+36%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-21P/E 50.6+31%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 50.0+29%Favorable on our tests
2026-08-27P/E 50.0+29%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 47.2+22%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 47.2+22%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 47.2+22%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-05P/E 46.9+21%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 46.9+21%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 47.5+23%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 47.5+23%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 46.6+21%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 46.6+21%Favorable on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 44.5+15%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 44.5+15%Mixed on our tests (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-03P/E 42.2+9%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 42.2+9%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is TKO Group Holdings stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 42.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 38.7, TKO Group Holdings trades about 9% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.32 on 31.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is TKO Group Holdings's fair value and PEG?

TKO Group Holdings trades at a blended P/E of 42.2 against a historical normal P/E of 38.7, a PEG of 1.32, and a forward growth estimate of 31.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 38.7 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $175.58 corresponds to about $161 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of TKO Group Holdings changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from favorable on our tests (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-09-28, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

What is the analyst price target for TKO Group Holdings?

The mean Wall Street price target for TKO Group Holdings is $231.42 across 19 analysts, 27.4% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

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