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Timken (TKR, Industrial machinery & parts) Stock Valuation & Fair Value

Mixed on our tests

Timken (TKR, Industrial machinery & parts) trades at a current P/E of 16.7, about 19% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 17.9% and a PEG of 0.93. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 14.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $102.03 corresponds to about $86.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

How to read these numbers: the PEG ratio and current P/E versus normal P/E.

Current P/E
16.7
Normal P/E
14.1
PEG
0.93
Fwd growth
17.9%
Div yield
1.4%
RSI (14)
34.9
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $102.03 at the Nov 6 close, 8.4% below the 20-day average ($111.33) and 11.7% below the 50-day ($115.50).
  • RSI (14) at 34.9.
  • 52-week range $73.33 to $144.93: the price is 29.6% below the high and 39.1% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TKR is $144.20 across 11 analysts, 41.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-07-31) to trading above its usual valuation (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-10-12, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 23.4 to 18.1 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30, against a normal P/E of 14.1, with 3 rating changes over 14 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 23.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 23.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 23.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 22.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 22.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 22.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 22.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 21.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 21.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 21.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 21.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 20.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 20.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 20.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 20.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 19.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 19.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 19.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 19.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 19.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 19.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 20.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 20.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 19.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-10-122026-10-16: P/E 19.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-172026-10-16: P/E 18.5, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-10-192026-10-23: P/E 17.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-10-262026-10-30: P/E 17.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-312026-10-30: P/E 18.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-11-0215.017.520.022.5Jul 31Aug 23Sep 15Oct 7Oct 30Normal P/E 14.1
Trading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 23.4+67%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 23.7+68%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-21P/E 19.5+39%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-10-05P/E 20.2+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-12P/E 19.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-26P/E 17.9+27%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-11-02P/E 18.1+29%Trading above its usual valuation ← now
Show all 29 readings
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 23.4+67%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 23.7+68%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 23.7+68%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 22.2+58%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 22.2+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 22.6+61%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 22.6+61%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 21.1+50%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 21.1+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 21.1+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 21.1+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 20.3+45%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 20.3+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 20.6+47%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 20.6+47%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 19.9+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 19.9+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 19.5+39%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-26P/E 19.5+39%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 19.5+39%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-10-03P/E 19.5+39%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 20.2+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-10P/E 20.2+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 19.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-17P/E 19.1+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-10-19P/E 18.5+31%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-10-26P/E 17.9+27%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-10-31P/E 17.9+27%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-11-02P/E 18.1+29%Trading above its usual valuation ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Timken stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 16.7 versus its historical normal P/E of 14.1, Timken trades about 19% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.93 on 17.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is Timken's fair value and PEG?

Timken trades at a current P/E of 16.7 against a historical normal P/E of 14.1, a PEG of 0.93, and a forward growth estimate of 17.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 14.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $102.03 corresponds to about $86.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Timken changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-07-31) to trading above its usual valuation (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-10-12, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

What is the analyst price target for Timken?

The mean Wall Street price target for Timken is $144.20 across 11 analysts, 41.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Industrial machinery & parts. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and an AI research note where we have one. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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