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TransMedics Group (TMDX, Health Care Equipment) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

TransMedics Group (TMDX, Health Care Equipment) trades at a blended P/E of 34.8, about 20% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 11.8% and a PEG of 2.95. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 33% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 43.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $86.42 corresponds to about $108 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
34.8
Normal P/E
43.4
PEG
2.95
Fwd growth
11.8%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
51.2
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $87.00 at the 2026-09-23 close, 0.3% below the 20-day average ($87.26) and 3.9% above the 50-day ($83.74).
  • RSI (14) at 51.2.
  • 52-week range $62.04 to $150.42: the price is 42.2% below the high and 40.2% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TMDX is $97.30 across 10 analysts, 11.8% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above fair value (2026-07-31) to significantly overvalued (2026-09-21).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 24.5 to 34.8 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 43.4, with 1 rating change over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 24.5, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 24.7, Trading above fair value2026-08-07: P/E 24.7, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 28.9, Significantly overvalued2026-08-14: P/E 28.9, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 31.5, Significantly overvalued2026-08-21: P/E 31.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 34.5, Significantly overvalued2026-08-27: P/E 34.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 34.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 34.5, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued2026-09-05: P/E 32.9, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 34.3, Significantly overvalued2026-09-12: P/E 34.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 32.3, Significantly overvalued2026-09-19: P/E 32.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 34.8, Significantly overvalued25.030.035.040.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 43.4
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 24.5-44%Trading above fair value
2026-08-10P/E 28.9-33%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-21P/E 34.8-20%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is TransMedics Group stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 34.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 43.4, TransMedics Group trades about 20% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.95 on 11.8% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is TransMedics Group's fair value and PEG?

TransMedics Group trades at a blended P/E of 34.8 against a historical normal P/E of 43.4, a PEG of 2.95, and a forward growth estimate of 11.8%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 43.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $86.42 corresponds to about $108 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of TransMedics Group changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above fair value (2026-07-31) to significantly overvalued (2026-09-21).

What is the analyst price target for TransMedics Group?

The mean Wall Street price target for TransMedics Group is $97.30 across 10 analysts, 11.8% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Health Care Equipment. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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