Home / Stocks / VEL

Velocity Financial (VEL, Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Fairly valued

Velocity Financial (VEL, Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance) trades at a blended P/E of 5.7, about 37% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 8.3% and a PEG of 0.68. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 20% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 8.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $16.00 corresponds to about $25.30 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

No quality score is published for this company, which is normal for insurers, banks and REITs. This rating reflects valuation, forecast return and analyst accuracy only. Ratings that cite business quality require one.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
5.7
Normal P/E
8.9
PEG
0.68
Fwd growth
8.3%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
24.0
Oversold
Technical context
  • Price $15.82 at the 2026-09-23 close, 9.7% below the 20-day average ($17.51) and 10.5% below the 50-day ($17.68).
  • RSI (14) at 24.0.
  • 52-week range $15.82 to $20.76: the price is 23.8% below the high and at the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for VEL is $21.50 across 3 analysts, 35.9% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: fairly valued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been fairly valued since 2026-07-31.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 6.2 to 5.7 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 8.9, with 0 rating changes over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 6.2, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 6.3, Fairly valued2026-08-07: P/E 6.3, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 6.6, Fairly valued2026-08-14: P/E 6.6, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 6.5, Fairly valued2026-08-21: P/E 6.5, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 6.5, Fairly valued2026-08-27: P/E 6.5, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 6.5, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 6.5, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 6.3, Fairly valued2026-09-05: P/E 6.3, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 6.5, Fairly valued2026-09-12: P/E 6.5, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 6.3, Fairly valued2026-09-19: P/E 6.3, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 5.7, Fairly valued6.07.08.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 8.9
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 6.2-30%Fairly valued
2026-08-10P/E 6.6-27%Fairly valued
2026-09-21P/E 5.7-37%Fairly valued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Velocity Financial stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 5.7 versus its historical normal P/E of 8.9, Velocity Financial trades about 37% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.68 on 8.3% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it fairly valued.

What is Velocity Financial's fair value and PEG?

Velocity Financial trades at a blended P/E of 5.7 against a historical normal P/E of 8.9, a PEG of 0.68, and a forward growth estimate of 8.3%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 8.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $16.00 corresponds to about $25.30 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Velocity Financial changed?

tickerseer's rating has been fairly valued since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for Velocity Financial?

The mean Wall Street price target for Velocity Financial is $21.50 across 3 analysts, 35.9% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

See the full analysis →🔔 Track VEL free: valuation & earnings alerts

Get the free weekly earnings preview

One email each Monday with the week's named earnings setups, the reasoning, and what settled last week. Strikes and sizing stay in Premium.

It's free, and you can unsubscribe any time. We also send a short product update once a month. Educational content, not investment advice.