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Vital Farms (VITL, Packaged Foods & Meats) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above fair value

Vital Farms (VITL, Packaged Foods & Meats) trades at a blended P/E of 147.3, about 30% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate above 100% and a PEG of 0.94. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 113.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $11.99 corresponds to about $9.22 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
147.3
Normal P/E
113.3
PEG
0.94
Fwd growth
>100%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
45.2
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $10.31 at the 2026-09-23 close, 1.9% below the 20-day average ($10.51) and 11.0% below the 50-day ($11.59).
  • RSI (14) at 45.2.
  • 52-week range $8.28 to $44.61: the price is 76.9% below the high and 24.5% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for VITL is $13.22 across 9 analysts, 28.2% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above fair value. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-07-31) to trading above fair value (2026-09-21).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 34.9 to 147.3 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 113.3, with 2 rating changes over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 34.9, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 36.0, Significantly overvalued2026-08-07: P/E 36.0, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 40.8, Fairly valued2026-08-14: P/E 40.8, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 41.4, Fairly valued2026-08-21: P/E 41.4, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 46.5, Fairly valued2026-08-27: P/E 46.5, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 46.5, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 46.5, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 56.6, Fairly valued2026-09-05: P/E 56.6, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 64.3, Fairly valued2026-09-12: P/E 64.3, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 82.7, Fairly valued2026-09-19: P/E 82.7, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 147.3, Trading above fair value50.0100.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 113.3
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 34.9-69%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-10P/E 40.8-64%Fairly valued
2026-09-21P/E 147.3+30%Trading above fair value ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Vital Farms stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 147.3 versus its historical normal P/E of 113.3, Vital Farms trades about 30% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.94 on forward growth above 100%. tickerseer currently rates it trading above fair value.

What is Vital Farms's fair value and PEG?

Vital Farms trades at a blended P/E of 147.3 against a historical normal P/E of 113.3, a PEG of 0.94, and a forward growth estimate above 100%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 113.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $11.99 corresponds to about $9.22 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Vital Farms changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-07-31) to trading above fair value (2026-09-21).

What is the analyst price target for Vital Farms?

The mean Wall Street price target for Vital Farms is $13.22 across 9 analysts, 28.2% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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