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Vistra (VST, Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Trading above fair value

Vistra (VST, Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders) trades at a blended P/E of 21.1, about 31% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 30.1% and a PEG of 0.70. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 25% of the time.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-21
Blended P/E
21.1
Normal P/E
16.1
PEG
0.70
Fwd growth
30.1%
Div yield
0.7%
RSI (14)
43.2
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for VST is $221.28 across 18 analysts, 62.5% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: trading above fair value. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-06-03) to trading above fair value (2026-08-21).

Price and rating by weekClose moved -3.6 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-17, with 2 rating changes over 21 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Significantly overvalued, close 153.58 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Significantly overvalued, close 138.35 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Significantly overvalued, close 147.81 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Significantly overvalued, close 158.39 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Significantly overvalued, close 163.52 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Significantly overvalued, close 151.05 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Significantly overvalued, close 157.22 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Significantly overvalued, close 157.98 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Significantly overvalued, close 158.86 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Significantly overvalued, close 158.12 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Significantly overvalued, close 158.43 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 157.99 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Significantly overvalued, close 166.74 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Significantly overvalued, close 163.38 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Significantly overvalued, close 157.08 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Significantly overvalued, close 148.19 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Significantly overvalued, close 148.192026-08-07: Trading above fair value, close 140.59 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Trading above fair value, close 140.592026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 148.13 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Significantly overvalued, close 148.131541482026-06-032026-08-17
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 32.2+100%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-10P/E 29.0+80%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-14P/E 29.0+80%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-16P/E 29.0+80%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-21P/E 29.0+80%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-02P/E 26.4+64%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-06P/E 25.9+61%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-09P/E 25.9+61%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-12P/E 26.6+65%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-13P/E 26.6+65%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-14P/E 26.6+65%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-20P/E 25.4+58%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-22P/E 25.4+58%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-25P/E 26.1+62%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-27P/E 26.1+62%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-31P/E 23.3+45%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-03P/E 23.2+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 21.7+35%Trading above fair value
2026-08-10P/E 22.1+37%Trading above fair value
2026-08-14P/E 22.6+41%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 22.8+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 21.1+31%Trading above fair value ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Vistra stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 21.1 versus its historical normal P/E of 16.1, Vistra trades about 31% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.70 on 30.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it trading above fair value.

What is Vistra's fair value and PEG?

Vistra trades at a blended P/E of 21.1 against a historical normal P/E of 16.1, a PEG of 0.70, and a forward growth estimate of 30.1%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Vistra changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-06-03) to trading above fair value (2026-08-21).

What is the analyst price target for Vistra?

The mean Wall Street price target for Vistra is $221.28 across 18 analysts, 62.5% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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