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Williams-Sonoma (WSM, Homefurnishing Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Williams-Sonoma (WSM, Homefurnishing Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 25.3, about 48% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 10.1% and a PEG of 2.50. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 45% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $232.30 corresponds to about $157 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
25.3
Normal P/E
17.0
PEG
2.50
Fwd growth
10.1%
Div yield
1.3%
RSI (14)
58.9
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $239.00 at the 2026-10-08 close, 3.9% above the 20-day average ($230.09) and 2.0% above the 50-day ($234.24).
  • RSI (14) at 58.9.
  • 52-week range $168.08 to $251.78: the price is 5.1% below the high and 42.2% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for WSM is $247.85 across 20 analysts, 3.7% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above its usual valuation (2026-06-03) to significantly overvalued (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 23.3 to 25.3 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 17.0, with 1 rating change over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 23.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 23.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 23.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 23.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 23.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 25.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 25.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 25.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 24.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 24.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 24.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 25.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 25.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 26.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 25.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 27.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 28.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 26.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 26.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 26.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 26.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 26.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 26.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 25.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 25.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 24.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 24.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 24.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 24.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 24.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 24.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 25.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-0520.025.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 17.0
Trading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 23.3+37%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 23.2+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 25.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 28.0+64%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-05P/E 25.3+48%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 23.3+37%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 23.2+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 23.2+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 23.2+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 23.2+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 25.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 25.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 25.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 24.9+46%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 24.9+46%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 24.9+46%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 25.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 25.6+50%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 25.3+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 25.3+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 26.0+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 25.5+50%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 27.5+61%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 28.0+64%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 26.9+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 26.8+57%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 26.1+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 26.3+55%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 26.3+55%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 26.2+54%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 25.8+52%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 25.8+52%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 24.9+46%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 24.9+46%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 24.8+45%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 24.8+45%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 24.5+44%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 24.5+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 25.3+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 25.3+48%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 25.3+48%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 25.3+48%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Williams-Sonoma stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 25.3 versus its historical normal P/E of 17.0, Williams-Sonoma trades about 48% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.50 on 10.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Williams-Sonoma's fair value and PEG?

Williams-Sonoma trades at a blended P/E of 25.3 against a historical normal P/E of 17.0, a PEG of 2.50, and a forward growth estimate of 10.1%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $232.30 corresponds to about $157 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Williams-Sonoma changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above its usual valuation (2026-06-03) to significantly overvalued (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for Williams-Sonoma?

The mean Wall Street price target for Williams-Sonoma is $247.85 across 20 analysts, 3.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Homefurnishing Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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