This week’s named earnings setups
Named setups from this week’s earnings analysis, week of Jul 27. The reasoning is here in full. Strikes, sizing, and entry timing are part of the paid plan, and every call lands on the public track record once it settles.
The edge here is priced volatility, not direction. Options imply a 13-18% move against an average actual post-earnings move of 6.89% over the last four quarters, so the short strike can sit a full 18% below spot and still collect about 21% of the spread width. Seagate guided Q4...
Qualcomm has slid 30% and consensus already models a 33.2% year-over-year EPS decline, so the Apple modem loss is in the numbers rather than ahead of them: the company guides to 20% share of the fall 2026 iPhone and nothing beyond. Seer has it 15% undervalued against normal PE...
The 228% reading against normal PE is the loudest bear number in the dataset and should be ignored: a normal PE of 15.97 reflects a pre-AI capital-equipment cycle, and Seer's own forward ROR of -1.5 is neutral, not bearish. Sell-side expects revenue near B against roughly B...
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