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Airbnb (ABNB, Hotels Resorts & Cruise Lines) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Weak on forward returns

Airbnb (ABNB, Hotels Resorts & Cruise Lines) trades at a blended P/E of 32.8, about 14% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 19.2% and a PEG of 1.71. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 60% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 28.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $162.43 corresponds to about $143 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
32.8
Normal P/E
28.8
PEG
1.71
Fwd growth
19.2%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
48.1
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $163.23 at the 2026-10-08 close, 0.7% above the 20-day average ($162.04) and 4.4% below the 50-day ($170.76).
  • RSI (14) at 48.1.
  • 52-week range $111.54 to $190.50: the price is 14.3% below the high and 46.3% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ABNB is $183.62 across 40 analysts, 12.5% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: weak on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from mixed on our tests (2026-06-03) to weak on forward returns (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 30.2 to 32.8 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 28.8, with 5 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 30.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 29.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 29.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 29.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 29.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 32.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 32.6, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 32.6, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 32.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 32.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 32.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 31.7, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 31.7, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 30.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 30.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 32.8, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 32.6, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 32.1, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 37.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 38.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 38.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 38.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 39.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 39.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 38.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 39.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 39.3, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 37.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 37.5, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 34.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 34.9, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 33.9, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 33.9, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 31.9, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 31.9, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 32.8, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 32.8, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0530.035.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 28.8
Mixed on our testsWeak on forward returnsTrading above its usual valuationPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 30.2+5%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 29.8+4%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 32.2+12%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-14P/E 38.8+35%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 38.6+34%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-21P/E 38.6+34%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 39.3+36%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-12P/E 34.9+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 32.8+14%Weak on forward returns ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 30.2+5%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 29.8+4%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 29.8+4%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 29.8+4%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 29.8+4%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 32.2+12%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 32.6+13%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 32.6+13%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 32.3+12%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 32.3+12%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 32.3+12%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 31.7+10%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 31.7+10%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 30.5+6%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 30.5+6%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 32.8+14%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 32.6+13%Weak on forward returns
2026-08-07P/E 32.1+12%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 37.6+31%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-14P/E 38.8+35%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 38.6+34%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-21P/E 38.6+34%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 39.0+36%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 39.0+36%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 38.2+33%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 39.3+36%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 39.3+36%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 37.5+30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 37.5+30%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 34.9+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 34.9+21%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-19P/E 33.9+18%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 33.9+18%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 31.9+11%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 31.9+11%Weak on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 32.8+14%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 32.8+14%Weak on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Airbnb stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 32.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 28.8, Airbnb trades about 14% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.71 on 19.2% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it weak on forward returns.

What is Airbnb's fair value and PEG?

Airbnb trades at a blended P/E of 32.8 against a historical normal P/E of 28.8, a PEG of 1.71, and a forward growth estimate of 19.2%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 28.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $162.43 corresponds to about $143 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Airbnb changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from mixed on our tests (2026-06-03) to weak on forward returns (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for Airbnb?

The mean Wall Street price target for Airbnb is $183.62 across 40 analysts, 12.5% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Hotels Resorts & Cruise Lines. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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