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Ambarella (AMBA, Semiconductors) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Ambarella (AMBA, Semiconductors) trades at a blended P/E of 90.7, about 74% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 34.4% and a PEG of 2.63. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 9% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 52.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-09 close of $67.43 corresponds to about $38.70 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-12
Blended P/E
90.7
Normal P/E
52.1
PEG
2.63
Fwd growth
34.4%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
48.1
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $67.43 at the 2026-10-09 close, level with the 20-day average ($67.40) and 6.0% below the 50-day ($71.77).
  • RSI (14) at 48.1.
  • 52-week range $48.65 to $95.51: the price is 29.4% below the high and 38.6% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for AMBA is $89.36 across 11 analysts, 32.5% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-08-28.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 99.7 to 90.7 between 2026-08-28 and 2026-10-09, against a normal P/E of 52.1, with 0 rating changes over 15 recorded weeks.2026-08-28: P/E 99.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 99.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 98.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 98.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 86.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 86.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 92.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 92.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 90.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 90.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 98.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 98.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 92.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 92.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 90.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-1260.080.0Aug 28Sep 7Sep 18Sep 29Oct 9Normal P/E 52.1
Significantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-28P/E 99.7+91%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 86.2+66%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-12P/E 90.7+74%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 15 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-28P/E 99.7+91%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 99.7+91%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 98.9+90%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 98.9+90%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 86.2+66%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 86.2+66%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 92.6+78%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 92.6+78%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 90.2+73%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 90.2+73%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 98.6+89%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 98.6+89%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 92.7+78%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-10P/E 92.7+78%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 90.7+74%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Ambarella stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 90.7 versus its historical normal P/E of 52.1, Ambarella trades about 74% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.63 on 34.4% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Ambarella's fair value and PEG?

Ambarella trades at a blended P/E of 90.7 against a historical normal P/E of 52.1, a PEG of 2.63, and a forward growth estimate of 34.4%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 52.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-09 close of $67.43 corresponds to about $38.70 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Ambarella changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-08-28.

What is the analyst price target for Ambarella?

The mean Wall Street price target for Ambarella is $89.36 across 11 analysts, 32.5% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Semiconductors. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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