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Ford Motor (F, Automobile Manufacturers) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests

Ford Motor (F, Automobile Manufacturers) trades at a blended P/E of 7.2, about 14% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 12.0% and a PEG of 0.60. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 45% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 8.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $12.10 corresponds to about $14.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
7.2
Normal P/E
8.4
PEG
0.60
Fwd growth
12.0%
Div yield
5.0%
RSI (14)
37.4
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $12.25 at the 2026-10-08 close, 4.3% below the 20-day average ($12.80) and 9.6% below the 50-day ($13.55).
  • RSI (14) at 37.4.
  • 52-week range $10.90 to $17.25: the price is 29.0% below the high and 12.4% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for F is $16.03 across 18 analysts, 30.9% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 12.5 to 7.2 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 8.4, with 2 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 12.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 11.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 11.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 11.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 11.1, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 9.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 9.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 9.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 10.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 10.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 10.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 10.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 10.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 10.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 10.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 9.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 9.6, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 8.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 9.0, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 8.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 9.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 8.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 9.1, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 9.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 8.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 8.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 8.7, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 9.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 9.1, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 8.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 8.6, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 8.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 8.1, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 7.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 7.7, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 7.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 7.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-058.010.012.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 8.4
Mixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationSignificantly overvaluedLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 12.5+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 11.1+32%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 9.8+17%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-03P/E 7.2-14%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 7.2-14%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 12.5+49%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 11.1+32%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 11.1+32%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 11.1+32%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 11.1+32%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 9.8+17%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 9.6+14%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 9.6+14%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 10.0+19%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 10.0+19%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 10.0+19%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 10.1+20%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 10.1+20%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 10.1+20%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 10.1+20%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 9.7+15%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 9.6+14%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-07P/E 8.9+6%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 9.0+7%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-14P/E 8.9+5%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 9.2+9%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-21P/E 8.9+5%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 9.1+8%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-27P/E 9.1+8%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 8.8+4%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 8.7+3%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 8.7+3%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-05P/E 9.1+8%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 9.1+8%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 8.6+2%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 8.6+2%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 8.1-4%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 8.1-4%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 7.7-9%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 7.7-9%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 7.2-14%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 7.2-14%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Ford Motor stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 7.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 8.4, Ford Motor trades about 14% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.60 on 12.0% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is Ford Motor's fair value and PEG?

Ford Motor trades at a blended P/E of 7.2 against a historical normal P/E of 8.4, a PEG of 0.60, and a forward growth estimate of 12.0%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 8.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $12.10 corresponds to about $14.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Ford Motor changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from significantly overvalued (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for Ford Motor?

The mean Wall Street price target for Ford Motor is $16.03 across 18 analysts, 30.9% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Automobile Manufacturers. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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