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Tesla (TSLA, Automobile Manufacturers) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Tesla (TSLA, Automobile Manufacturers) trades at a blended P/E of 204.8, about 18% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 25.3% and a PEG of 8.10.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-21
Blended P/E
204.8
Normal P/E
173.2
PEG
8.10
Fwd growth
25.3%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
53.4
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TSLA is $395.34 across 40 analysts, 9.0% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Price and rating by weekClose moved -19.2 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-17, with 0 rating changes over 21 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Significantly overvalued, close 423.70 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Significantly overvalued, close 381.59 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Significantly overvalued, close 406.43 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Significantly overvalued, close 404.66 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Significantly overvalued, close 400.49 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Significantly overvalued, close 393.45 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Significantly overvalued, close 419.77 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Significantly overvalued, close 406.55 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Significantly overvalued, close 407.76 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Significantly overvalued, close 394.76 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Significantly overvalued, close 396.18 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 369.57 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Significantly overvalued, close 374.01 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Significantly overvalued, close 313.03 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Significantly overvalued, close 309.22 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Significantly overvalued, close 311.21 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Significantly overvalued, close 311.212026-08-07: Significantly overvalued, close 328.58 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Significantly overvalued, close 328.582026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 342.27 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Significantly overvalued, close 342.274243422026-06-032026-08-17
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 249.8+44%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-10P/E 219.2+27%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-14P/E 219.2+27%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-16P/E 219.2+27%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-21P/E 219.2+27%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-02P/E 235.3+36%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-06P/E 216.4+25%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-09P/E 216.4+25%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-12P/E 222.5+28%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-13P/E 222.5+28%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-14P/E 222.5+28%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-20P/E 203.9+18%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-22P/E 203.9+18%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-25P/E 181.8+5%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-27P/E 181.8+5%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-31P/E 179.8+4%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-03P/E 184.6+7%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 189.1+9%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-10P/E 194.4+12%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 201.1+16%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 203.2+17%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 204.8+18%Significantly overvalued ← now

Earnings moves: TSLA moved more than the options market implied in 1 of 1 recent tracked reports.

Frequently asked questions

Is Tesla stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 204.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 173.2, Tesla trades about 18% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 8.10 on 25.3% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Tesla's fair value and PEG?

Tesla trades at a blended P/E of 204.8 against a historical normal P/E of 173.2, a PEG of 8.10, and a forward growth estimate of 25.3%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Tesla changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Tesla?

The mean Wall Street price target for Tesla is $395.34 across 40 analysts, 9.0% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Automobile Manufacturers. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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