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Five Below (FIVE, Other Specialty Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Weak on forward returns

Five Below (FIVE, Other Specialty Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 24.4, about 39% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 14.9% and a PEG of 1.64. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 40.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $221.19 corresponds to about $365 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
24.4
Normal P/E
40.3
PEG
1.64
Fwd growth
14.9%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
35.8
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $209.73 at the 2026-10-08 close, 7.4% below the 20-day average ($226.57) and 10.7% below the 50-day ($234.88).
  • RSI (14) at 35.8.
  • 52-week range $138.49 to $262.72: the price is 20.2% below the high and 51.4% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for FIVE is $310.48 across 21 analysts, 48.0% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: weak on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been weak on forward returns since 2026-07-09.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 23.5 to 24.4 between 2026-07-09 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 40.3, with 2 rating changes over 30 recorded weeks.2026-07-09: P/E 23.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 23.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 23.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 23.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 23.5, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 26.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 26.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 26.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 26.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 30.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 30.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 30.8, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 30.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 31.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 31.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 31.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 31.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 29.7, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 29.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 28.7, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 28.7, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 27.6, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 27.6, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 26.2, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 26.2, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 24.8, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 24.8, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 24.4, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0525.030.035.040.0Jul 9Jul 30Aug 20Sep 11Oct 2Normal P/E 40.3
Weak on forward returnsPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-09P/E 23.5-42%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 27.7-31%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-24P/E 31.2-22%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-07P/E 28.7-29%Weak on forward returns
2026-10-05P/E 24.4-39%Weak on forward returns ← now
Show all 30 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-09P/E 23.5-42%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 23.5-42%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 23.5-42%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 23.5-42%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 23.5-42%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 26.2-35%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 26.2-35%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 26.2-35%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 26.2-35%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 27.7-31%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-07P/E 27.7-31%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 30.9-23%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 30.9-23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 30.8-24%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 30.8-24%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 31.2-22%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 31.2-22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 31.2-22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 31.2-22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 29.7-26%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 29.7-26%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 28.7-29%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 28.7-29%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 27.6-31%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 27.6-31%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 26.2-35%Weak on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 26.2-35%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 24.8-39%Weak on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 24.8-39%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 24.4-39%Weak on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Five Below stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 24.4 versus its historical normal P/E of 40.3, Five Below trades about 39% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.64 on 14.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it weak on forward returns.

What is Five Below's fair value and PEG?

Five Below trades at a blended P/E of 24.4 against a historical normal P/E of 40.3, a PEG of 1.64, and a forward growth estimate of 14.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 40.3 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $221.19 corresponds to about $365 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Five Below changed?

tickerseer's rating has been weak on forward returns since 2026-07-09.

What is the analyst price target for Five Below?

The mean Wall Street price target for Five Below is $310.48 across 21 analysts, 48.0% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Other Specialty Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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