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Lumentum Holdings (LITE, Networking gear) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Lumentum Holdings (LITE, Networking gear) trades at a current P/E of 89.6, about 276% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 65.9% and a PEG of 1.36. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 30% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 23.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-09 close of $1,103.36 corresponds to about $294 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-12
Current P/E
89.6
Normal P/E
23.9
PEG
1.36
Fwd growth
65.9%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
50.9
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $995.41 at the 2026-10-12 close, 0.7% above the 20-day average ($988.58) and 7.5% above the 50-day ($925.97).
  • RSI (14) at 50.9.
  • 52-week range $156.57 to $1,133.40: the price is 12.2% below the high and 535.8% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for LITE is $1,161.96 across 26 analysts, 16.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Strong Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-22.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 94.8 to 89.6 between 2026-07-22 and 2026-10-09, against a normal P/E of 23.9, with 0 rating changes over 27 recorded weeks.2026-07-22: P/E 94.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 94.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 94.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 94.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 78.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 78.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 95.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 95.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 90.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 90.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 82.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 82.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 82.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 82.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 83.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 83.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 80.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 80.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 82.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 82.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 80.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 80.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 79.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 79.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 90.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 90.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 89.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-1240.060.080.0Jul 22Aug 11Aug 31Sep 19Oct 9Normal P/E 23.9
Significantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-22P/E 94.8+362%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 78.3+281%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-10P/E 95.5+365%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-12P/E 89.6+276%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 27 weeks
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-22P/E 94.8+362%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 94.8+362%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 94.8+362%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 94.8+362%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 78.3+281%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 78.3+281%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 95.5+365%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 95.5+365%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 90.4+279%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 90.4+279%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 82.6+246%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 82.6+246%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 82.6+246%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 82.6+246%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 83.3+249%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 83.3+249%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 80.0+235%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 80.0+235%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 82.2+245%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 82.2+245%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 80.6+238%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 80.6+238%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 79.8+234%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 79.8+234%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 90.0+277%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-10P/E 90.0+277%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 89.6+276%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Lumentum Holdings stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 89.6 versus its historical normal P/E of 23.9, Lumentum Holdings trades about 276% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.36 on 65.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Lumentum Holdings's fair value and PEG?

Lumentum Holdings trades at a current P/E of 89.6 against a historical normal P/E of 23.9, a PEG of 1.36, and a forward growth estimate of 65.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 23.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-09 close of $1,103.36 corresponds to about $294 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Lumentum Holdings changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-22.

What is the analyst price target for Lumentum Holdings?

The mean Wall Street price target for Lumentum Holdings is $1,161.96 across 26 analysts, 16.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Networking gear. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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