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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI, Broadline Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Weak on forward returns

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI, Broadline Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 20.2, about 36% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 10.9% and a PEG of 1.85. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 40% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 31.5 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $88.06 corresponds to about $137 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
20.2
Normal P/E
31.5
PEG
1.85
Fwd growth
10.9%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
63.3
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $86.71 at the 2026-10-08 close, 5.5% above the 20-day average ($82.21) and 10.8% above the 50-day ($78.28).
  • RSI (14) at 63.3.
  • 52-week range $61.88 to $132.85: the price is 34.7% below the high and 40.1% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for OLLI is $99.93 across 15 analysts, 15.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: weak on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from mixed on our tests (2026-07-09) to weak on forward returns (2026-10-05). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-09-28, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 15.0 to 20.2 between 2026-07-09 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 31.5, with 1 rating change over 30 recorded weeks.2026-07-09: P/E 15.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 15.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 15.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 15.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 15.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 15.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 15.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 15.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 15.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 17.6, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 17.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 19.5, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 19.5, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 18.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 18.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 18.1, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 18.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 18.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 18.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 17.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 17.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 17.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 17.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 17.0, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 17.0, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 17.5, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 17.5, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 19.4, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 19.4, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 20.2, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0515.020.025.030.0Jul 9Jul 30Aug 20Sep 11Oct 2Normal P/E 31.5
Mixed on our testsWeak on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-09P/E 15.0-52%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 19.4-38%Weak on forward returns (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-05P/E 20.2-36%Weak on forward returns ← now
Show all 30 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-09P/E 15.0-52%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 15.0-52%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 15.0-52%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 15.0-52%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 15.0-52%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 15.9-50%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 15.9-50%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 15.9-50%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 15.9-50%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 17.6-44%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-07P/E 17.6-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 19.5-38%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-14P/E 19.5-38%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 18.2-42%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-21P/E 18.2-42%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 18.1-43%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-27P/E 18.1-43%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 18.1-43%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 18.1-43%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 17.2-45%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-05P/E 17.2-45%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 17.8-43%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 17.8-43%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 17.0-46%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 17.0-46%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 17.5-44%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 17.5-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 19.4-38%Weak on forward returns (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-03P/E 19.4-38%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 20.2-36%Weak on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 20.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 31.5, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings trades about 36% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.85 on 10.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it weak on forward returns.

What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's fair value and PEG?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings trades at a blended P/E of 20.2 against a historical normal P/E of 31.5, a PEG of 1.85, and a forward growth estimate of 10.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 31.5 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $88.06 corresponds to about $137 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from mixed on our tests (2026-07-09) to weak on forward returns (2026-10-05). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-09-28, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

What is the analyst price target for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings?

The mean Wall Street price target for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is $99.93 across 15 analysts, 15.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Broadline Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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