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Par Pacific Holdings (PARR, Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Quality business with a solid forward outlook

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR, Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing) trades at a blended P/E of 4.8, about 68% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of -32.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 15.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $84.37 corresponds to about $265 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
4.8
Normal P/E
15.1
PEG
—
Fwd growth
-32.6%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
44.2
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $76.97 at the 2026-09-23 close, 5.1% below the 20-day average ($81.12) and 2.5% below the 50-day ($78.97).
  • RSI (14) at 44.2.
  • 52-week range $33.28 to $86.49: the price is 11.0% below the high and 131.3% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for PARR is $86.57 across 7 analysts, 12.5% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: quality business with a solid forward outlook. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from fairly valued (2026-07-31) to quality business with a solid forward outlook (2026-09-21).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 6.9 to 4.8 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 15.1, with 1 rating change over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 6.9, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 6.9, Fairly valued2026-08-07: P/E 6.9, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 4.9, Quality business with a solid forward outlook2026-08-14: P/E 4.9, Quality business with a solid forward outlook (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 5.6, Quality business with a solid forward outlook2026-08-21: P/E 5.6, Quality business with a solid forward outlook (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 5.3, Quality business with a solid forward outlook2026-08-27: P/E 5.3, Quality business with a solid forward outlook (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 5.3, Quality business with a solid forward outlook (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 5.3, Quality business with a solid forward outlook (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 5.2, Quality business with a solid forward outlook2026-09-05: P/E 5.2, Quality business with a solid forward outlook (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 5.3, Quality business with a solid forward outlook2026-09-12: P/E 5.3, Quality business with a solid forward outlook (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 5.5, Quality business with a solid forward outlook2026-09-19: P/E 5.5, Quality business with a solid forward outlook (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 4.8, Quality business with a solid forward outlook5.010.015.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 15.1
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 6.9-54%Fairly valued
2026-08-10P/E 4.9-67%Quality business with a solid forward outlook
2026-09-21P/E 4.8-68%Quality business with a solid forward outlook ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Par Pacific Holdings stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 4.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 15.1, Par Pacific Holdings trades about 68% below its typical valuation. tickerseer currently rates it quality business with a solid forward outlook.

What is Par Pacific Holdings's fair value and PEG?

Par Pacific Holdings trades at a blended P/E of 4.8 against a historical normal P/E of 15.1, a forward growth estimate of -32.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 15.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $84.37 corresponds to about $265 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Par Pacific Holdings changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from fairly valued (2026-07-31) to quality business with a solid forward outlook (2026-09-21).

What is the analyst price target for Par Pacific Holdings?

The mean Wall Street price target for Par Pacific Holdings is $86.57 across 7 analysts, 12.5% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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